Asian League · resolved market
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc37e3814b74788b1f57139f58de6ca250cd5e2cec3fe179cd32d764ddf399e2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,046
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,147
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,046 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 57c | 3,442$1,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.42 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Under | 51c | 3,045$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.06 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 1,416$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.71 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Over | 51c | 1,068$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.72 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 51c | 964.18$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.73 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Over | 47c | 757.81$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.17 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -8.2wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 28c | 683.43$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.36 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Over | 45c | 636.07$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 48c | 624.33$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.09 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 46c | 499.91$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.96 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 32cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 61c | 492.83$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.05 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Over | 65c | 489.5$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.18 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 50c | 465.51$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.32 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…dab4backed Over | 51c | 405.31$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.71 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 76c | 389.05$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.68 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e2…0d29backed Under | 50c | 353.48$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Under | 49c | 337.9$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.77 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 54c | 281.89$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.57 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 49c | 276.58$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.06 | 135 | 63.7%86 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 23c | 259.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.79 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 43c | 252.01$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.72 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Under | 79c | 250.37$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.91 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 53c | 235$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.45 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 53c | 235$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.45 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 53c | 235$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.45 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 42c | 233.56$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.08 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 51c | 207$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.7 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 56c | 173.94$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 34c | 152.51$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.26 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 54c | 150.53$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.14 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Over | 36c | 145.97$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.05 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Over | 49c | 140$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 44c | 134.36$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.12 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 37c | 117.46$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.79 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 56c | 115.67$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.29 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 71c | 89.37$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 55c | 87.56$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.63 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 54c | 86.83$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.36 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…9691backed Over | 62c | 81.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.84 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 60cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 45c | 74.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.74 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 56c | 74.94$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.84 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 52c | 74.71$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x527c…5f6cbacked Under | 55c | 63.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 36c | 62.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 55c | 62.27$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 47c | 53.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Under | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Under | 38c | 48.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 46c | 44.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 56c | 43.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 57c | 41.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Over | 44c | 41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 202 | 56.4%114 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0425backed Over | 60c | 40.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.29per pick | 60cpaid | -52%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfc…17f6backed Under | 74c | 39.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Under | 64c | 38.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 50c | 37.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2be0…6deebacked Over | 40c | 36.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 51c | 36.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…2b89backed Under | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 72c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Under | 55c | 35.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 48cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76e5…af5ebacked Under | 55c | 35.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Over | 57c | 35.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Under | 47c | 31.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 43c | 29.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed Under | 49c | 29.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 45c | 29.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 319 | 60.2%192 W · 127 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc351…8ce7backed Under | 69c | 29.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Over | 65c | 25.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 51c | 23.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed Under | 51c | 21.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…8568backed Over | 72c | 20.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 55c | 20.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 52c | 19.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Under | 56c | 19.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 53 | 73.6%39 W · 14 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f86…ef4ebacked Under | 65c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Over | 67c | 14.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-2.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.