Asian League · resolved market
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5cb4bc3b5332408cc3ce2a4fe514ab727dd6e0b218e2f11c961e2a81cd5024c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,132
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,132 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 59c | 5,734$3,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,351.38 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 41c | 5,342$2,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,185.35 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over | 71c | 789.37$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.92 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 45c | 577.65$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.68 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 27c | 555.95$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.49 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 32c | 505.81$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.61 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 29c | 504.48$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 79c | 437.46$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.87 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00e…00f4backed Over | 68c | 421.17$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.77 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 27c | 385.34$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.67 | 1,662 | 36.2%602 W · 1,060 L | -34.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 29c | 356.88$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.49 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 67c | 348.93$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.15 | 1,116 | 49.5%552 W · 564 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 73c | 333.33$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.95 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 70c | 276.15$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.4 | 905 | 44.9%406 W · 499 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 64c | 263.07$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.7 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Over | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Under | 28c | 196.87$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.12 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 32c | 139.45$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.14 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 29c | 136.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Under | 33c | 124$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 99 | 26.3%26 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 62c | 118$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.84 | 346 | 59.8%207 W · 139 L | +49.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 48c | 117.16$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.97 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 64c | 116.19$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.83 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 72c | 107.54$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.31 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Over | 57c | 85.24$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 29c | 82.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 29c | 75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 72c | 60.11$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 72c | 60.11$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 72c | 60.11$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 71c | 59.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 68c | 58.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 376 | 62.5%235 W · 141 L | +61.2wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Over | 71c | 57.98$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e6…f081backed Under | 35c | 54.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 33c | 54.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 68c | 53.96$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 398 | 61.8%246 W · 152 L | +56.9wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 49c | 53.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 33c | 51.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Under | 50c | 50.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Over | 72c | 46.4$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 32c | 45.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be0…6deebacked Under | 31c | 44.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 72c | 40.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 72c | 40.68$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 96 | 72.9%70 W · 26 L | +19.3wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +145.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 72c | 39.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42f7…91aabacked Over | 64c | 38.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdea0…f99cbacked Over | 70c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 68c | 29.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 71c | 27.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Over | 74c | 27.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 68c | 24.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 68c | 20.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd99a…1f3ebacked Over | 73c | 15.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Over | 68c | 15.14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-2.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.