Tennis · resolved market
ITF Bali: Manish Sureshkumar vs Ryuki Matsuda
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf98af8d7ce279008ef9f754bf30857a4b2852c273214cae4770b9ce2e926dac8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ryuki Matsudaof Manish Sureshkumar, Ryuki Matsuda
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,654
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,657
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,654 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7547…d158backed Ryuki Matsuda | 43c | 599.98$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.99 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Ryuki Matsuda | 73c | 384.95$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.28 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Manish Sureshkumar | 57c | 366.56$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.94 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Manish Sureshkumar | 38c | 209.81$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 241 | 59.3%143 W · 98 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Manish Sureshkumar | 50c | 202$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.86 | 337 | 51.9%175 W · 162 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf30…5c23backed Manish Sureshkumar | 67c | 147.77$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Manish Sureshkumar | 57c | 105.19$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.96 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Manish Sureshkumar | 28c | 95.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked Ryuki Matsuda | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 140 | 36.4%51 W · 89 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27a4…d44cbacked Manish Sureshkumar | 59c | 84.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Manish Sureshkumar | 56c | 79.92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.75 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Ryuki Matsuda | 71c | 74$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab70…774cbacked Ryuki Matsuda | 59c | 72.48$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.42 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Manish Sureshkumar | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Ryuki Matsuda | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Ryuki Matsuda | 41c | 67.27$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.69 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Ryuki Matsuda | 34c | 58.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.51 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Ryuki Matsuda | 71c | 57.96$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 273 | 63.4%173 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Ryuki Matsuda | 68c | 56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ryuki Matsuda | 65c | 44.92$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51c8…190abacked Manish Sureshkumar | 28c | 40.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Manish Sureshkumar | 57c | 37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Ryuki Matsuda | 67c | 24.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Ryuki Matsuda | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.