Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Towson Tigers vs. William & Mary Tribe
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf98f143992d4964ca4304c99f9ed0c3f8c6d2cde65473285bb89740f0a414808
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- William & Mary Tribeof Towson Tigers, William & Mary Tribe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $109,484
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $140,451
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,484 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07c8…2696backed William & Mary Tribe | 58c | 9,819$5,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,149.51 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Towson Tigers | 1c | 9,289$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.89 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Towson Tigers | 46c | 8,685$3,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,970.65 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Towson Tigers | 8c | 8,646$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.91 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b9…0598backed Towson Tigers | 47c | 4,287$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked William & Mary Tribe | 64c | 4,157$2,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.9 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Towson Tigers | 43c | 3,259$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.72 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed William & Mary Tribe | 78c | 3,176$2,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.7 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Towson Tigers | 4c | 3,043$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.83 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Towson Tigers | 3c | 2,595$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.67 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Towson Tigers | 7c | 2,563$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.07 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed William & Mary Tribe | 54c | 1,487$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.82 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Towson Tigers | 32c | 910.11$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.9 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…339ebacked William & Mary Tribe | 61c | 820.02$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.51 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Towson Tigers | 41c | 767.54$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.41 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c1…b554backed Towson Tigers | 4c | 477.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Towson Tigers | 49c | 476.65$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.76 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed Towson Tigers | 53c | 403.41$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.38 | 111 | 36%40 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e28…df76backed William & Mary Tribe | 50c | 369$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.5 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83c9…bacfbacked Towson Tigers | 12c | 366.24$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…b0a5backed William & Mary Tribe | 58c | 342.88$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.01 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 38cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Towson Tigers | 44c | 320.77$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.09 | 215 | 35.3%76 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed William & Mary Tribe | 45c | 266.62$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.46 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed William & Mary Tribe | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed William & Mary Tribe | 61c | 229$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.18 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked William & Mary Tribe | 63c | 221$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.21 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd5…7236backed Towson Tigers | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Towson Tigers | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 254 | 38.2%97 W · 157 L | -14.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked William & Mary Tribe | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -14.7wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x16d8…ba9ebacked William & Mary Tribe | 59c | 176.17$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.23 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Towson Tigers | 11c | 175.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Towson Tigers | 47c | 160$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Towson Tigers | 9c | 159.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed William & Mary Tribe | 54c | 153$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.35 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe096…9779backed Towson Tigers | 57c | 151.72$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.31 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked William & Mary Tribe | 44c | 150$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Towson Tigers | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed William & Mary Tribe | 77c | 149.97$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.54 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Towson Tigers | 15c | 139.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb16c…4ceabacked William & Mary Tribe | 56c | 123.82$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.48 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bae…61b8backed William & Mary Tribe | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed William & Mary Tribe | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 150 | 55.3%83 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed William & Mary Tribe | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…6092backed Towson Tigers | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…497dbacked Towson Tigers | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Towson Tigers | 21c | 99.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked William & Mary Tribe | 49c | 80.81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.81 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Towson Tigers | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Towson Tigers | 45c | 58.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed William & Mary Tribe | 55c | 45.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8820…0118backed William & Mary Tribe | 70c | 42.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8470…7933backed William & Mary Tribe | 63c | 38.14$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72f9…629abacked Towson Tigers | 56c | 35.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked William & Mary Tribe | 49c | 34.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Towson Tigers | 46c | 31.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Towson Tigers | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Towson Tigers | 45c | 29.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79a9…6869backed William & Mary Tribe | 56c | 27.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe7…8b77backed William & Mary Tribe | 57c | 26.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb259…72fbbacked William & Mary Tribe | 58c | 23.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed William & Mary Tribe | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabeb…8698backed William & Mary Tribe | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed William & Mary Tribe | 55c | 18.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Towson Tigers vs. William & Mary Tribethis page
- Towson Tigers vs. William & Mary Tribe: O/U 150.5Over won
- Towson Tigers vs. William & Mary Tribe: O/U 151.5Over won
- Towson Tigers vs. William & Mary Tribe: O/U 152.5Over won
- Towson Tigers vs. William & Mary Tribe: O/U 153.5Over won
- Towson Tigers vs. William & Mary Tribe: O/U 156.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.