Tennis · resolved market
ITF M25 Taipei Men: Koki Matsuda vs Chen Hui Ho
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf99172a0331a165659283e1a2f5f648218d5e262b544901628b3c0dbd8d6d5ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chen Hui Hoof Koki Matsuda, Chen Hui Ho
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,271
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,896
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,271 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Koki Matsuda | 54c | 10,000$5,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,371.92 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Chen Hui Ho | 9c | 5,337$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,866.83 | 713 | 29.7%212 W · 501 L | -39.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chen Hui Ho | 45c | 4,250$1,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,332.3 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Chen Hui Ho | 71c | 3,558$2,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.3 | 1,101 | 45.1%497 W · 604 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Koki Matsuda | 57c | 1,192$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.44 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Chen Hui Ho | 45c | 1,056$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.56 | 3,631 | 54.9%1,995 W · 1,636 L | +110.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Koki Matsuda | 50c | 899.33$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.29 | 737 | 38.8%286 W · 451 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Koki Matsuda | 58c | 885.32$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.59 | 203 | 51.2%104 W · 99 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e9…caedbacked Koki Matsuda | 78c | 769.23$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 90 | 67.8%61 W · 29 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked Chen Hui Ho | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Koki Matsuda | 44c | 551.09$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.91 | 597 | 38.2%228 W · 369 L | -27.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Koki Matsuda | 48c | 460$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.27 | 1,252 | 38.8%486 W · 766 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Koki Matsuda | 66c | 425.69$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.59 | 6,419 | 46.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Koki Matsuda | 55c | 395.72$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.7 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Chen Hui Ho | 47c | 376.81$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.71 | 240 | 52.5%126 W · 114 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Chen Hui Ho | 62c | 303.83$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.34 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Chen Hui Ho | 47c | 298$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 433 | 45%195 W · 238 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Chen Hui Ho | 41c | 266.38$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.38 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Koki Matsuda | 53c | 250$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 145 | 55.9%81 W · 64 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Chen Hui Ho | 47c | 238.26$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.28 | 805 | 58.6%472 W · 333 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Chen Hui Ho | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 1,406 | 45.3%637 W · 769 L | +43.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Koki Matsuda | 56c | 214.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 229 | 52.8%121 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Koki Matsuda | 79c | 177.65$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.34 | 4,159 | 52.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L | +66.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Chen Hui Ho | 12c | 164.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.55 | 1,013 | 36.5%370 W · 643 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…b706backed Koki Matsuda | 58c | 158.52$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.94 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Koki Matsuda | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 904 | 54.4%492 W · 412 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Chen Hui Ho | 48c | 139.44$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.51 | 1,002 | 50.2%503 W · 499 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec3…e330backed Koki Matsuda | 63c | 127.4$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.26 | 427 | 47.8%204 W · 223 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Chen Hui Ho | 38c | 120.08$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.45 | 3,204 | 40.5%1,299 W · 1,905 L | +28.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Chen Hui Ho | 39c | 117$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.37 | 3,412 | 39.1%1,335 W · 2,077 L | -11.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x811a…9a3cbacked Koki Matsuda | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x966f…5cdcbacked Koki Matsuda | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Chen Hui Ho | 45c | 100.94$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.45 | 7,745 | 50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L | +93.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Koki Matsuda | 46c | 100.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.96 | 132 | 32.6%43 W · 89 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Chen Hui Ho | 38c | 96.1$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.21 | 2,142 | 37.3%799 W · 1,343 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Koki Matsuda | 79c | 85.44$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 443 | 65.9%292 W · 151 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Chen Hui Ho | 46c | 85$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 125 | 43.2%54 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Chen Hui Ho | 37c | 81.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.62 | 912 | 55.9%510 W · 402 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Chen Hui Ho | 38c | 77.23$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.88 | 870 | 54.6%475 W · 395 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Koki Matsuda | 60c | 64.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 3,621 | 45.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Chen Hui Ho | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 380 | 51.6%196 W · 184 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Chen Hui Ho | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 397 | 47.9%190 W · 207 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…08bdbacked Koki Matsuda | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Chen Hui Ho | 37c | 48.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.76 | 913 | 54.9%501 W · 412 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Chen Hui Ho | 47c | 41.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.98 | 1,001 | 38.4%384 W · 617 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Chen Hui Ho | 47c | 31.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 479 | 56.8%272 W · 207 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Chen Hui Ho | 40c | 30.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 554 | 37.5%208 W · 346 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Chen Hui Ho | 62c | 29.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 239 | 54.8%131 W · 108 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0155…07dfbacked Chen Hui Ho | 41c | 27.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Koki Matsuda | 59c | 25.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 2,821 | 39.5%1,113 W · 1,708 L | -82.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Chen Hui Ho | 42c | 25.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…4870backed Koki Matsuda | 80c | 14.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.