NHL · resolved market
KHL: Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk vs. SKA St. Petersburg
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9d7f937dd20e67491a87354ec53297d320a4589e817818e599cba9094e16d1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SKA St. Petersburgof Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk, SKA St. Petersburg
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,554
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,554 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 50c | 643.94$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.95 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed SKA St. Petersburg | 52c | 602.25$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.08 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4343…ac47backed SKA St. Petersburg | 50c | 522.5$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 50c | 442.7$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.35 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 18c | 201$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.81 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed SKA St. Petersburg | 80c | 129.09$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 202 | 45%91 W · 111 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -7.7wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 52c | 99.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked SKA St. Petersburg | 36c | 90$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked SKA St. Petersburg | 50c | 60.37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe067…96b1backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 53c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SKA St. Petersburg | 56c | 51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed SKA St. Petersburg | 48c | 47.31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 52c | 47.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked SKA St. Petersburg | 50c | 44.82$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed SKA St. Petersburg | 50c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x506c…20e0backed SKA St. Petersburg | 48c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 52c | 30.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d94…92c9backed SKA St. Petersburg | 57c | 27.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.