Lol · resolved market
LoL: FALKE Esports vs Barça eSports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9e7fa47bfa9348436c5603c43059873b995bd3fa7df77f7e3a05790938880f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Barça eSportsof FALKE Esports, Barça eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,680
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,166
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,680 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdccd…f41abacked FALKE Esports | 20c | 1,459$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.72 | 178 | 39.3%70 W · 108 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f8…7fa1backed Barça eSports | 29c | 342.03$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.64 | 777 | 46.2%359 W · 418 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe197…71ebbacked FALKE Esports | 73c | 169.21$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.92 | 277 | 45.8%127 W · 150 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…6ad4backed Barça eSports | 24c | 166.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.66 | 182 | 31.3%57 W · 125 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…bc5ebacked FALKE Esports | 76c | 159$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.84 | 350 | 58.6%205 W · 145 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Barça eSports | 16c | 153.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked FALKE Esports | 16c | 116.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e8…ef2bbacked FALKE Esports | 35c | 115.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 645 | 56.6%365 W · 280 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked FALKE Esports | 16c | 107.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…5267backed Barça eSports | 66c | 103.35$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.86 | 155 | 71%110 W · 45 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…c6efbacked Barça eSports | 30c | 87$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.99 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Barça eSports | 72c | 78$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 283 | 29.7%84 W · 199 L | -32.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x422d…7e39backed FALKE Esports | 38c | 75.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…7d7bbacked Barça eSports | 27c | 64.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.93 | 665 | 59.5%396 W · 269 L | +72.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x986b…bdc6backed FALKE Esports | 76c | 56.77$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.38 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 75cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…5e63backed FALKE Esports | 29c | 52.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked FALKE Esports | 52c | 47.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88ad…9e5fbacked Barça eSports | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 228 | 63.2%144 W · 84 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Barça eSports | 25c | 40.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.23 | 1,543 | 54.8%845 W · 698 L | +75.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed FALKE Esports | 60c | 32.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 1,218 | 39.9%486 W · 732 L | -65.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Barça eSports | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: FALKE Esports vs Barça eSports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- LoL: FALKE Esports vs Barça eSports (BO3) - LES Regular SeasonBarça eSports won
- LoL: FALKE Esports vs Barça eSports - Game 2 WinnerBarça eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.