Tennis · resolved market
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem, Qualification: Amandine Hesse vs Elina Avanesyan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa2f592cfe1525e454a6500d449867d78339f38b407b00f71d3cdc81726d2a22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Elina Avanesyanof Amandine Hesse, Elina Avanesyan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,987
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,544
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,987 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfbfb…84a6backed Amandine Hesse | 14c | 6,841$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.82 | 128 | 14.1%18 W · 110 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Amandine Hesse | 14c | 2,104$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Amandine Hesse | 6c | 1,071$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 123 | 13.8%17 W · 106 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…0fbfbacked Amandine Hesse | 15c | 1,044$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.23 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Amandine Hesse | 10c | 999.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…40d3backed Amandine Hesse | 12c | 814.85$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.75 | 483 | 31.1%150 W · 333 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb962…8519backed Amandine Hesse | 23c | 400.3$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.07 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Amandine Hesse | 16c | 381.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.97 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Amandine Hesse | 7c | 363$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…49b3backed Amandine Hesse | 21c | 356.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.97 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Amandine Hesse | 21c | 313.01$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.28 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Amandine Hesse | 11c | 252.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 547 | 46.8%256 W · 291 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Amandine Hesse | 12c | 251$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Amandine Hesse | 13c | 202.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 574 | 47.7%274 W · 300 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b3b1backed Amandine Hesse | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 372 | 33.9%126 W · 246 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42e…74b5backed Amandine Hesse | 10c | 197.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Amandine Hesse | 13c | 188.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…44b8backed Amandine Hesse | 15c | 137.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +113.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Amandine Hesse | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…bb94backed Amandine Hesse | 13c | 107$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Amandine Hesse | 17c | 106.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…cebfbacked Elina Avanesyan | 79c | 99.51$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 671 | 78.7%528 W · 143 L | +49.1wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Amandine Hesse | 14c | 97.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 552 | 43.3%239 W · 313 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Amandine Hesse | 14c | 91.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Amandine Hesse | 14c | 76.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Elina Avanesyan | 79c | 71.77$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 1,076 | 73.8%794 W · 282 L | +41.1wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Amandine Hesse | 28c | 65.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc68b…3c2dbacked Amandine Hesse | 21c | 62.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c38…291fbacked Elina Avanesyan | 78c | 14.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.