Tennis · resolved market
Set 2 Winner: Bublik vs Halys
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa89f78e4d05341cb8c67c7dd4cbd65e8d3b459cf4acaf6f67ef1ce5d1f6711a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Halysof Bublik, Halys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,791
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,779
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,791 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafee…881ebacked Bublik | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x552d…8c54backed Halys | 77c | 2,398$1,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.46 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Halys | 48c | 765.72$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.18 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8840…f51abacked Bublik | 2c | 758.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 62 | 0%0 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Bublik | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253f…4253backed Halys | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Bublik | 46c | 187.48$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.24 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Halys | 56c | 139.57$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.41 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Bublik | 46c | 124.79$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.84 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c79…ddf6backed Halys | 52c | 122.96$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.9 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -18.8wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -27%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a8…b1f7backed Bublik | 47c | 110.64$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 287 | 38.3%110 W · 177 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8249…9169backed Bublik | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Halys | 46c | 97.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.54 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Bublik | 46c | 65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Bublik | 29c | 59.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Halys | 56c | 50.89$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 519 | 42.6%221 W · 298 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Bublik | 46c | 45.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb7…0acebacked Bublik | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Bublik | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Bublik | 45c | 33.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36fe…b131backed Halys | 54c | 29.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 2 Winner: Bublik vs Halysthis page
- Alexander Bublik vs. Quentin Halys: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Bublik vs. Halys: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Bublik vs. Halys: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin HalysQuentin Halys won
- Set 1 Winner: Bublik vs HalysHalys won
- Set Handicap: Bublik (-1.5) vs Halys (+1.5)Halys won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.