Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Elon Phoenix vs. UNCW Seahawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb0c8eda6199867ab890868540d5154a325ad2870f8b18de4851d239b655af58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UNCW Seahawksof Elon Phoenix, UNCW Seahawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,303
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,315
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,303 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Elon Phoenix | 23c | 2,276$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.86 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked UNCW Seahawks | 77c | 1,385$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.86 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed UNCW Seahawks | 78c | 1,375$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.56 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed UNCW Seahawks | 77c | 1,188$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.19 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Elon Phoenix | 22c | 1,178$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Elon Phoenix | 6c | 1,166$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.14 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Elon Phoenix | 25c | 1,074$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.38 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee76…e67abacked UNCW Seahawks | 77c | 740.26$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.26 | 113 | 62.8%71 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Elon Phoenix | 4c | 705.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked UNCW Seahawks | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Elon Phoenix | 22c | 476.43$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.81 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Elon Phoenix | 22c | 425.81$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.68 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked UNCW Seahawks | 76c | 370.5$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.07 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Elon Phoenix | 6c | 337.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Elon Phoenix | 24c | 230$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 172 | 41.3%71 W · 101 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed UNCW Seahawks | 76c | 230$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Elon Phoenix | 25c | 200.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Elon Phoenix | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed UNCW Seahawks | 75c | 195.2$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Elon Phoenix | 22c | 192.39$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Elon Phoenix | 22c | 157.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed UNCW Seahawks | 75c | 136.33$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed UNCW Seahawks | 77c | 114$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Elon Phoenix | 23c | 99.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…67efbacked Elon Phoenix | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UNCW Seahawks | 77c | 81.88$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…3471backed Elon Phoenix | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…c0b6backed UNCW Seahawks | 80c | 75.3$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed UNCW Seahawks | 77c | 73.05$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed UNCW Seahawks | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 48 | 77.1%37 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…9815backed UNCW Seahawks | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Elon Phoenix | 23c | 62.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc14d…f8b4backed Elon Phoenix | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4baa…5e1abacked UNCW Seahawks | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 72cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…08eabacked Elon Phoenix | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Elon Phoenix | 24c | 52.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6665…2f44backed UNCW Seahawks | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ec…d899backed Elon Phoenix | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Elon Phoenix | 24c | 49.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 208 | 34.6%72 W · 136 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68c4…d7dfbacked Elon Phoenix | 22c | 45.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3a…752fbacked UNCW Seahawks | 79c | 43.24$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…f396backed UNCW Seahawks | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 78cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae3…9192backed UNCW Seahawks | 77c | 29.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 18 | 94.4%17 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 76cpaid | +25%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed UNCW Seahawks | 75c | 25.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…2022backed UNCW Seahawks | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Elon Phoenix vs. UNCW Seahawksthis page
- Elon Phoenix vs. UNCW Seahawks: O/U 150.5Under won
- Elon Phoenix vs. UNCW Seahawks: O/U 151.5Under won
- Spread: UNCW Seahawks (-8.5)UNCW Seahawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.