Tennis · resolved market
ITF Vitoria-Gasteiz: Martyna Kubka vs Kira Pavlova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb880502f370bad13ec4e25a9bb74a7cb0b60a753a71c78b5e75bec286f2f17b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Martyna Kubkaof Martyna Kubka, Kira Pavlova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,011
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,032
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,011 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Kira Pavlova | 41c | 18,143$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 361 | 45.2%163 W · 198 L | -19.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Martyna Kubka | 65c | 10,268$6,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,608.09 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Martyna Kubka | 68c | 7,743$5,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,458.42 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kira Pavlova | 15c | 1,817$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.37 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Martyna Kubka | 56c | 1,238$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.04 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Kira Pavlova | 27c | 688.1$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.16 | 160 | 29.4%47 W · 113 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Kira Pavlova | 17c | 374.02$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.69 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe846…252bbacked Martyna Kubka | 51c | 266.04$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.36 | 134 | 38.8%52 W · 82 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Kira Pavlova | 17c | 263.47$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.43 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Kira Pavlova | 22c | 226.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Kira Pavlova | 26c | 202.58$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.67 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Martyna Kubka | 58c | 201.34$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.56 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Kira Pavlova | 20c | 164.73$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kira Pavlova | 17c | 156.73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Martyna Kubka | 62c | 149.52$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.82 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Kira Pavlova | 24c | 144.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Kira Pavlova | 22c | 135.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Kira Pavlova | 22c | 135.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Kira Pavlova | 22c | 135.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Kira Pavlova | 25c | 133.64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf19f…8d44backed Martyna Kubka | 77c | 129.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Martyna Kubka | 62c | 123.37$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.88 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed Kira Pavlova | 17c | 114.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Martyna Kubka | 57c | 108.62$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.71 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Martyna Kubka | 56c | 105$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Martyna Kubka | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d2…d00fbacked Kira Pavlova | 11c | 99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Kira Pavlova | 19c | 86.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Martyna Kubka | 77c | 77.94$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 363 | 78.2%284 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Martyna Kubka | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Kira Pavlova | 21c | 65.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Martyna Kubka | 75c | 55.84$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Kira Pavlova | 25c | 55.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Martyna Kubka | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 574 | 49.1%282 W · 292 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe302…a986backed Martyna Kubka | 67c | 45.7$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 198 | 41.9%83 W · 115 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked Martyna Kubka | 62c | 43.31$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Martyna Kubka | 62c | 36.18$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 215 | 54%116 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Martyna Kubka | 77c | 35.71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x074c…771cbacked Martyna Kubka | 78c | 33.86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Martyna Kubka | 80c | 32.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 273 | 63.4%173 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Martyna Kubka | 80c | 31.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 225 | 47.1%106 W · 119 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Martyna Kubka | 76c | 27.19$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Martyna Kubka | 75c | 26.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…7537backed Martyna Kubka | 78c | 25.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 113 | 72.6%82 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 77cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…5e60backed Martyna Kubka | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 74 | 75.7%56 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe01…b45dbacked Martyna Kubka | 79c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 223 | 77.6%173 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 77cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Martyna Kubka | 75c | 14.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.