CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FarmVille vs regain (BO3) - CCT North America Series #4 Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbfa9ee7a56fad1018cb0ee808dacc83de3ce436bdb59876df1ff3bcedfb7ab1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- regainof FarmVille, regain
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,213
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,240
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,213 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a14…d748backed FarmVille | 41c | 1,330$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.54 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed regain | 73c | 971.69$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.78 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed FarmVille | 53c | 817.27$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.79 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked regain | 32c | 778.94$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.68 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed FarmVille | 58c | 676.61$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.99 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked FarmVille | 66c | 599.97$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.98 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked FarmVille | 69c | 589.67$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.31 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked regain | 47c | 574.2$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.73 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed regain | 34c | 469.64$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.96 | 330 | 44.5%147 W · 183 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1289…42aabacked FarmVille | 32c | 464.11$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.54 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed FarmVille | 69c | 454.32$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.33 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed regain | 64c | 447.32$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.11 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed FarmVille | 43c | 382.81$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.48 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked regain | 44c | 305.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.96 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked regain | 72c | 299.12$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.77 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked regain | 74c | 277.67$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.16 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -17.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed FarmVille | 63c | 248.33$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.45 | 485 | 62.7%304 W · 181 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked FarmVille | 50c | 247.71$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.13 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked regain | 51c | 246.49$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.61 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…68c9backed FarmVille | 55c | 224.87$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.68 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb882…fcabbacked regain | 50c | 194.1$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.45 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.33per pick | 52cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked regain | 44c | 188.47$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.19 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed regain | 73c | 178.73$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.15 | 250 | 42.8%107 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked regain | 36c | 173.87$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.46 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe2…0d54backed FarmVille | 67c | 160.06$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.85 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf535…e984backed FarmVille | 68c | 158.15$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.9 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…6cdcbacked FarmVille | 68c | 144.36$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.07 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked regain | 38c | 142.41$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.99 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked FarmVille | 63c | 141.6$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.11 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…63ecbacked regain | 25c | 136.43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.42 | 216 | 23.6%51 W · 165 L | -27.4wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed FarmVille | 77c | 131.5$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.84 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed regain | 33c | 130.55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.16 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed regain | 43c | 128.47$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.23 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc75…5431backed regain | 43c | 128.45$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.22 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…58c9backed regain | 43c | 128.45$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.22 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4820…c613backed regain | 51c | 115.15$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.91 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed FarmVille | 42c | 112.15$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.32 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…5d25backed regain | 37c | 108.42$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.31 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed regain | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f4…dfa7backed FarmVille | 76c | 95.3$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…876dbacked regain | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf4…8c98backed FarmVille | 73c | 80.86$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.03 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed FarmVille | 33c | 75.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…22b6backed FarmVille | 25c | 75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8a…89e9backed FarmVille | 68c | 72.54$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.03 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked regain | 26c | 69.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.4 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…471fbacked regain | 40c | 56.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 357 | 52.9%189 W · 168 L | +22.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed regain | 43c | 55.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed regain | 37c | 54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…2e80backed FarmVille | 68c | 52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa640…3b9fbacked FarmVille | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed regain | 44c | 49.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.43 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed regain | 27c | 49.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.95 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78a0…72d9backed FarmVille | 63c | 47.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c4…26f2backed regain | 37c | 45.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f5…7a95backed FarmVille | 68c | 43.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | -14.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed FarmVille | 38c | 41.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…c31cbacked FarmVille | 62c | 40.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…1c86backed regain | 39c | 37.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad9…caefbacked regain | 44c | 34.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked regain | 41c | 34.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2409…215ebacked FarmVille | 71c | 31.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked FarmVille | 68c | 28.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…a9c7backed FarmVille | 49c | 27.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed FarmVille | 63c | 22.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 164 | 64.6%106 W · 58 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked regain | 62c | 20.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed FarmVille | 77c | 19.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 244 | 57%139 W · 105 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe332…8b83backed FarmVille | 58c | 19.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…fda1backed FarmVille | 62c | 18.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 411 | 47.7%196 W · 215 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81fe…4089backed FarmVille | 62c | 16.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FarmVille vs regain (BO3) - CCT North America Series #4 Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: FarmVille vs regain - Map 1 WinnerFarmVille won
- Counter-Strike: FarmVille vs regain - Map 2 Winnerregain won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.