Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-02-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc6c10fb3aceabbe49d019c36cf6ba1ce497c792f587dbcab49a7c1d3591efa7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,746
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $164,868
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,746 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 20c | 50,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,999.95 | 183 | 35%64 W · 119 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 19,867$15,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,665.41 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 10,459$7,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,897.15 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 71c | 4,881$3,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,448.82 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 80c | 3,901$3,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120.8 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed No | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed No | 4c | 1,994$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.23 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -58%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 76c | 1,615$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.03 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed No | 80c | 1,609$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.2 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed No | 80c | 1,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 80c | 1,481$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.8 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 80c | 1,038$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.77 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 80c | 982.14$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.71 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 55c | 837$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.49 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 51c | 780.95$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.63 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 45c | 753.18$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.93 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d4c…a700backed Yes | 55c | 726.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 49c | 621$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.29 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec06…9d24backed No | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 80c | 434$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.2 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 72c | 264.78$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.28 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 28c | 263.32$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.61 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 53c | 245.27$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.27 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 80c | 209.71$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.28 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…8c81backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…808bbacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked Yes | 67c | 156.36$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.91 | 214 | 73.4%157 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a42…2a7ebacked Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Yes | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +6.9wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +34%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 33c | 112.79$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed No | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…2232backed Yes | 21c | 102.62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.04 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9d2dbacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Yes | 55c | 92.45$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Yes | 52c | 81.73$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.23 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d91…7e2ebacked No | 41c | 80.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.77 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed No | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 55c | 69.73$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…5b77backed No | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 47c | 60.42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 39c | 50.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 52c | 46.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23ff…94f0backed Yes | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 80c | 45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked No | 47c | 43.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 39c | 42.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.82 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 46c | 41.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 230 | 61.3%141 W · 89 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3c…a938backed Yes | 53c | 39.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8207…7edbbacked Yes | 53c | 38.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5b…1008backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 46c | 34.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 124 | 56.5%70 W · 54 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Yes | 49c | 25.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…e53dbacked Yes | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked Yes | 54c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…88cfbacked Yes | 54c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed No | 48c | 20.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66f5…d943backed Yes | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff0…271bbacked Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78b4…3874backed Yes | 58c | 19.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-02-10?this page
- Will Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Hibernian FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-02-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.