Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Fiona Ferro
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc739b9172dc1e3729415129ab3b4217ed9866671ce1b48015765acaee7e499e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mirra Andreevaof Mirra Andreeva, Fiona Ferro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $221,885
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $282,659
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,885 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Fiona Ferro | 4c | 34,899$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.15 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Fiona Ferro | 3c | 27,315$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.04 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Fiona Ferro | 3c | 12,500$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.56 | 1,683 | 50.6%851 W · 832 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…11d3backed Fiona Ferro | 2c | 5,420$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.51 | 161 | 33.5%54 W · 107 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…26bebacked Fiona Ferro | 5c | 5,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 231 | 43.3%100 W · 131 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Fiona Ferro | 4c | 4,500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Fiona Ferro | 0c | 4,470$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 1,207 | 8%96 W · 1,111 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Fiona Ferro | 4c | 4,273$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.94 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Fiona Ferro | 5c | 3,857$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.69 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…b178backed Fiona Ferro | 0c | 3,271$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 334 | 9.6%32 W · 302 L | -16.7wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Fiona Ferro | 2c | 2,308$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.37 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c87…98b1backed Fiona Ferro | 1c | 2,010$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 226 | 2.2%5 W · 221 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Fiona Ferro | 6c | 1,880$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.8 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Fiona Ferro | 4c | 1,170$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.72 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Fiona Ferro | 4c | 1,059$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.93 | 292 | 37.7%110 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Fiona Ferro | 8c | 1,004$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.65 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Fiona Ferro | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 123 | 22%27 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Fiona Ferro | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,515 | 37.7%571 W · 944 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Fiona Ferro | 5c | 999.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Fiona Ferro | 4c | 938$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Fiona Ferro | 6c | 903$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 790 | 40.6%321 W · 469 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1930…691cbacked Fiona Ferro | 5c | 800$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…c775backed Fiona Ferro | 5c | 795.59$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.48 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Fiona Ferro | 4c | 750$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 398 | 45.5%181 W · 217 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Fiona Ferro | 6c | 717.74$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.55 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Fiona Ferro | 4c | 666$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 567 | 44.6%253 W · 314 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked Fiona Ferro | 6c | 600$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 271 | 32.1%87 W · 184 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Fiona Ferro | 4c | 473.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Fiona Ferro | 4c | 450$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2,868 | 49.5%1,419 W · 1,449 L | +23.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…b19fbacked Fiona Ferro | 4c | 337.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 218 | 38.1%83 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…765dbacked Fiona Ferro | 5c | 315$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 327 | 32.1%105 W · 222 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Fiona Ferro | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 609 | 43.3%264 W · 345 L | -24.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Fiona Ferro | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Fiona Ferro | 6c | 167$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 2,528 | 36.2%914 W · 1,614 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Fiona Ferrothis page
- Andreeva vs. Ferro: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Mirra Andreeva vs. Fiona Ferro: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Andreeva vs FerroAndreeva won
- Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Ferro (+1.5)Andreeva won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.