Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfca51619ff70b6c87a45992f7f6120261f483c1884c88c65fbc36d4bed79410e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Anyone's Legendof Anyone's Legend, Weibo Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,370
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,421
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,370 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Weibo Gaming | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 65 | 1.5%1 W · 64 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Anyone's Legend | 44c | 874.38$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.77 | 813 | 33%268 W · 545 L | -43.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa792…7a71backed Anyone's Legend | 39c | 844.67$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f0…c7a9backed Weibo Gaming | 61c | 816.41$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.49 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Weibo Gaming | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1,802 | 51.2%923 W · 879 L | +53.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Weibo Gaming | 34c | 486.23$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.3 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6d61backed Weibo Gaming | 61c | 480.84$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.97 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c1…3e0bbacked Anyone's Legend | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 636 | 46.9%298 W · 338 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Weibo Gaming | 34c | 295$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Anyone's Legend | 38c | 226.42$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.38 | 1,611 | 48.4%780 W · 831 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3b…0cf9backed Anyone's Legend | 65c | 225.92$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.07 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Anyone's Legend | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 391 | 52.2%204 W · 187 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…3961backed Weibo Gaming | 41c | 189.59$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.15 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 42cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Weibo Gaming | 56c | 180$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 605 | 38.8%235 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked Anyone's Legend | 26c | 167.8$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.16 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Weibo Gaming | 55c | 140$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 1,117 | 48.8%545 W · 572 L | +40.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Anyone's Legend | 59c | 136.68$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.04 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Weibo Gaming | 50c | 130$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e23…761dbacked Weibo Gaming | 40c | 108.6$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.44 | 205 | 37.6%77 W · 128 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Anyone's Legend | 41c | 94.79$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.22 | 822 | 60.9%501 W · 321 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed4…f891backed Anyone's Legend | 60c | 94.12$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.65 | 512 | 47.3%242 W · 270 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac89…3783backed Anyone's Legend | 50c | 77.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Weibo Gaming | 45c | 60.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd06…d1f3backed Anyone's Legend | 52c | 56.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…612abacked Anyone's Legend | 46c | 52.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 440 | 46.4%204 W · 236 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Weibo Gaming | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 421 | 24.7%104 W · 317 L | -51.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -47%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Anyone's Legend | 41c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 596 | 47.7%284 W · 312 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddb…513dbacked Weibo Gaming | 60c | 48.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 46cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Weibo Gaming | 55c | 47.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad82…c48abacked Weibo Gaming | 62c | 47.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a93…36babacked Weibo Gaming | 64c | 39.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Weibo Gaming | 73c | 38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 572 | 22.7%130 W · 442 L | -48.9wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x796d…9551backed Weibo Gaming | 73c | 38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d15…8026backed Weibo Gaming | 59c | 33.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Weibo Gaming | 61c | 29.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 1,244 | 39.7%494 W · 750 L | -69.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Weibo Gaming | 73c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 432 | 33.8%146 W · 286 L | -20.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc578…5c1ebacked Weibo Gaming | 65c | 24.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Weibo Gaming | 61c | 24.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 143 | 60.8%87 W · 56 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Weibo Gaming | 73c | 19.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 726 | 37.7%274 W · 452 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group AscendAnyone's Legend won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 WinnerAnyone's Legend won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 WinnerAnyone's Legend won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.