CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: NIP vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcad6d805b98a42f219d082963cca1b18878cd839773095aa798fe6da7352ef8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NIPof NIP, GamerLegion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,861
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked GamerLegion | 29c | 4,963$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.45 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d93…2cf1backed NIP | 79c | 4,405$3,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.19 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | -13.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x78e0…375bbacked GamerLegion | 29c | 3,499$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.2 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed GamerLegion | 29c | 2,330$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.65 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db5…6489backed GamerLegion | 1c | 1,807$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed NIP | 54c | 1,005$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.35 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd2…8414backed GamerLegion | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e50…1efebacked NIP | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed NIP | 77c | 802.9$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.49 | 388 | 68.3%265 W · 123 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed NIP | 52c | 770$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.6 | 238 | 48.3%115 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16c…d7f4backed GamerLegion | 18c | 692.05$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.57 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed GamerLegion | 17c | 578.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 299 | 34.4%103 W · 196 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf828…00a5backed GamerLegion | 32c | 568.81$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.83 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked GamerLegion | 8c | 457.53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.36 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed GamerLegion | 46c | 260.2$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.63 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked GamerLegion | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed GamerLegion | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked GamerLegion | 40c | 81.88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked GamerLegion | 40c | 71.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed GamerLegion | 45c | 63.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed NIP | 67c | 61.74$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…ca77backed NIP | 69c | 56.19$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked GamerLegion | 24c | 53.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a7…96f9backed NIP | 71c | 49.39$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x534d…f488backed GamerLegion | 27c | 42.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…9706backed NIP | 57c | 35.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf935…3971backed GamerLegion | 51c | 28.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5abb…5a2fbacked NIP | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.31per pick | 55cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked NIP | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 180 | 40.6%73 W · 107 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed NIP | 53c | 19.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs GamerLegion (BO3) - RES Showdown Spring PlayoffsNIP won
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs GamerLegion - Map 2 WinnerGamerLegion won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.