CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: NIP vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x542e5908ed0ecf0d9397d535292ff73b2e1ea0dfbcd7990fe5a1c19d2aef0760
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GamerLegionof NIP, GamerLegion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,164
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,126
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,164 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked GamerLegion | 50c | 11,232$5,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,598.88 | 3,256 | 50.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L | +97.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d93…2cf1backed NIP | 51c | 8,576$4,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400.61 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | -13.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x78e0…375bbacked GamerLegion | 52c | 1,980$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.11 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed NIP | 38c | 1,926$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.58 | 2,057 | 41.5%853 W · 1,204 L | -50.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16c…d7f4backed GamerLegion | 43c | 1,415$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.83 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked NIP | 53c | 1,336$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.3 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed NIP | 51c | 1,160$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.46 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed GamerLegion | 65c | 888$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.34 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a08…6c62backed NIP | 36c | 829.74$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4925…a69abacked GamerLegion | 9c | 789.17$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.27 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed GamerLegion | 42c | 663.73$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.76 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed NIP | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.7 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed GamerLegion | 26c | 475.41$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.1 | 568 | 22.5%128 W · 440 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NIP | 42c | 359.33$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.68 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed NIP | 52c | 336$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.16 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee1…f616backed GamerLegion | 49c | 325$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed GamerLegion | 18c | 294.55$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.53 | 157 | 43.3%68 W · 89 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d30…1a5ebacked NIP | 36c | 290$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.4 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed NIP | 49c | 261.57$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked GamerLegion | 60c | 238.18$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.18 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed GamerLegion | 51c | 224.32$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.48 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27c…79e0backed GamerLegion | 66c | 212.58$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.58 | 231 | 61.5%142 W · 89 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked GamerLegion | 49c | 212.24$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.24 | 355 | 50.1%178 W · 177 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…2ef0backed GamerLegion | 75c | 189$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked NIP | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 767 | 48%368 W · 399 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed GamerLegion | 60c | 166.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.87 | 299 | 34.4%103 W · 196 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked GamerLegion | 39c | 111.26$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.87 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc2…9c0dbacked NIP | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 126 | 37.3%47 W · 79 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed GamerLegion | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 428 | 45.6%195 W · 233 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a7…96f9backed GamerLegion | 62c | 91.27$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.68 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…f540backed NIP | 30c | 90$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked GamerLegion | 17c | 88.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.19 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…d27abacked NIP | 54c | 83.89$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb55…159abacked GamerLegion | 44c | 68.8$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked GamerLegion | 34c | 54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.38 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f3…9b44backed GamerLegion | 51c | 48.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked GamerLegion | 25c | 47.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked GamerLegion | 37c | 43.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 268 | 36.6%98 W · 170 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…3c35backed GamerLegion | 57c | 41.63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…9d09backed GamerLegion | 72c | 40.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d3…a973backed GamerLegion | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 37 | 78.4%29 W · 8 L | +5.4wins | +0.15per pick | 64cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…9706backed NIP | 59c | 34.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed GamerLegion | 61c | 25.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d60…c048backed NIP | 48c | 24.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9388…8b79backed GamerLegion | 78c | 24.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x458d…e086backed NIP | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed GamerLegion | 58c | 17.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked GamerLegion | 71c | 16.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 180 | 40.6%73 W · 107 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf09c…8535backed GamerLegion | 71c | 14.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…52bebacked GamerLegion | 80c | 14.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.92 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs GamerLegion (BO3) - RES Showdown Spring PlayoffsNIP won
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs GamerLegion - Map 1 WinnerNIP won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.