Mls · resolved market
Charlotte FC vs. New England Revolution: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcaed1354dc4b29efb7219de25c472152cc25359fd7550c7e35a730b3a422089
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,454
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,076
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,454 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 50c | 6,160$3,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,074.02 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 21c | 636.75$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.94 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 30c | 519$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.43 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 38c | 450$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.65 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 40c | 429.81$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.71 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 30c | 317.75$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 72c | 292$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.04 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 75c | 273.33$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 55c | 241.06$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 16c | 232.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.17 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 33c | 202.95$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.19 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…4529backed Over | 53c | 199.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 26c | 163$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.67 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Under | 19c | 151.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.42 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 27c | 149.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.18 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Over | 15c | 145.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 27c | 137$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.01 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5833…4893backed Over | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27d3…0764backed Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 14c | 76.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 47c | 70.21$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.21 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…4fb2backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 54cpaid | -73%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe68d…a292backed Over | 80c | 52.41$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c05…a460backed Over | 79c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.6wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 80c | 23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Under | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 80c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Charlotte FC vs. New England Revolution: O/U 1.5this page
- Charlotte FC vs. New England Revolution: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Charlotte FC vs. New England Revolution: O/U 2.5Under won
- Charlotte FC vs. New England Revolution: O/U 3.5Under won
- Charlotte FC vs. New England Revolution: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Charlotte FC (-1.5)New England Revolution won
- Spread: New England Revolution (-1.5)Charlotte FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.