Tennis · resolved market
ITF Maanshan: Matthew Dellavedova vs Hoyoung Roh
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcb686f56f75ccb6a78a4255b438d71f6a39a99f4810ccdb892c6ce50173d572
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Matthew Dellavedovaof Matthew Dellavedova, Hoyoung Roh
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,091
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,401
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,091 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Hoyoung Roh | 9c | 4,621$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.49 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Hoyoung Roh | 20c | 863.39$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.82 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…23c4backed Hoyoung Roh | 12c | 852.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x468a…c764backed Matthew Dellavedova | 67c | 735$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.55 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Hoyoung Roh | 18c | 725.93$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.09 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Hoyoung Roh | 18c | 670.12$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.28 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Hoyoung Roh | 40c | 475.95$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.11 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Matthew Dellavedova | 74c | 404.83$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.83 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Hoyoung Roh | 15c | 319.61$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.34 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Hoyoung Roh | 33c | 298.34$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.26 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Hoyoung Roh | 20c | 251.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.17 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Hoyoung Roh | 10c | 223.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Hoyoung Roh | 11c | 219.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Hoyoung Roh | 19c | 190.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.64 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Hoyoung Roh | 23c | 190.31$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.77 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Hoyoung Roh | 9c | 170.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3556…af4fbacked Hoyoung Roh | 34c | 165.39$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 277 | 24.9%69 W · 208 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Hoyoung Roh | 13c | 147$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Matthew Dellavedova | 69c | 145$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 636 | 48%305 W · 331 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Matthew Dellavedova | 70c | 138.57$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.17 | 848 | 57.4%487 W · 361 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Matthew Dellavedova | 73c | 136.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.52 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…3800backed Matthew Dellavedova | 67c | 127.81$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x829f…0bdabacked Hoyoung Roh | 36c | 84.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d3…ed4ebacked Hoyoung Roh | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -5.3wins | -0.25per pick | 44cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Matthew Dellavedova | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Matthew Dellavedova | 80c | 61.79$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Matthew Dellavedova | 70c | 53.69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Matthew Dellavedova | 59c | 50.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bb…7cefbacked Hoyoung Roh | 32c | 46.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 367 | 43.6%160 W · 207 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Matthew Dellavedova | 80c | 40.27$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…bf0dbacked Matthew Dellavedova | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 168 | 73.8%124 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…8a6ebacked Matthew Dellavedova | 72c | 27.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 417 | 68.1%284 W · 133 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Matthew Dellavedova | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Matthew Dellavedova | 77c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Matthew Dellavedova | 80c | 14.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.97 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.