MLB · resolved market
Royals vs. Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfce4c97ffa3433bfd0ef8bbf8dd117fde93eeaaecdfe75a06045fec864307c27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Royalsof Royals, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,552
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,109
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,552 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cardinals | 22c | 6,303$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.49 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Cardinals | 17c | 6,008$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cardinals | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Cardinals | 53c | 3,954$2,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,095.4 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Royals | 64c | 3,777$2,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.84 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Royals | 50c | 3,730$1,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,865 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Royals | 48c | 3,501$1,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,827.45 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Cardinals | 53c | 3,008$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.33 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Royals | 47c | 2,727$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.47 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Cardinals | 47c | 2,718$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.31 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Royals | 48c | 2,239$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.01 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Cardinals | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.82 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Royals | 74c | 1,612$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.72 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Cardinals | 51c | 1,373$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.16 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Cardinals | 20c | 1,287$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.44 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Cardinals | 43c | 1,187$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.21 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Cardinals | 53c | 1,100$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Cardinals | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Cardinals | 15c | 978.33$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.75 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Cardinals | 45c | 894.56$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Royals | 50c | 796.46$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.72 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…8590backed Cardinals | 50c | 771.74$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.87 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Cardinals | 21c | 738.1$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…84babacked Cardinals | 31c | 639.6$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Cardinals | 51c | 503.18$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.62 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Royals | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Royals | 47c | 499.99$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Cardinals | 8c | 485.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Cardinals | 53c | 475.47$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Cardinals | 50c | 436.18$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Cardinals | 52c | 423.08$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Cardinals | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Royals | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe0…6e30backed Cardinals | 26c | 350$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.5 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Royals | 47c | 312.51$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.63 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac46…ca4abacked Cardinals | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Royals | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Royals | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Royals | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…c1a0backed Cardinals | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -6.2wins | -0.29per pick | 48cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Cardinals | 41c | 191.4$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.89 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Cardinals | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Royals | 47c | 185.12$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.31 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…fe44backed Cardinals | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfffe…1df7backed Cardinals | 48c | 144.34$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.5 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18a8…59e3backed Cardinals | 22c | 138.37$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Royals | 48c | 130.08$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.92 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x316a…73b2backed Royals | 48c | 117$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f90…ae32backed Cardinals | 52c | 117$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde69…6097backed Cardinals | 51c | 113$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8751…1dd5backed Royals | 49c | 113$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…dcffbacked Cardinals | 52c | 112$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x248e…8b20backed Royals | 48c | 112$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Royals | 47c | 108$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb92…73c8backed Royals | 49c | 106$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x953c…1c63backed Cardinals | 51c | 106$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…e968backed Royals | 48c | 105$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd318…3bf3backed Cardinals | 52c | 105$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda9…3d16backed Royals | 50c | 102.3$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…e4bcbacked Royals | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +5.9wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…18c2backed Royals | 49c | 102$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc270…705fbacked Cardinals | 51c | 102$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…e6f6backed Cardinals | 51c | 102$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00a…9ffcbacked Royals | 49c | 102$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…879dbacked Royals | 49c | 101.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25a6…c8b8backed Cardinals | 51c | 101$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c2…8626backed Royals | 49c | 101$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Royals | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Cardinals | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Cardinals | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfecf…2ccbbacked Royals | 48c | 98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0b…09c2backed Cardinals | 51c | 98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1407…1621backed Cardinals | 51c | 98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a3…26fabacked Cardinals | 52c | 98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf06c…c76abacked Royals | 49c | 98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacec…547dbacked Royals | 49c | 98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fb…2d11backed Cardinals | 52c | 95.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.52 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Cardinals | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Cardinals | 27c | 94.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6780…82dfbacked Cardinals | 52c | 93.35$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +75%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Cardinals | 53c | 93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168e…c81dbacked Royals | 49c | 93$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40c2…a4a0backed Cardinals | 51c | 93$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…4b80backed Cardinals | 52c | 92.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…0c8fbacked Cardinals | 26c | 92.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf4…a082backed Cardinals | 51c | 91$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ada…f4ffbacked Royals | 49c | 91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51c4…dc01backed Royals | 49c | 90.22$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbb…f8abbacked Cardinals | 52c | 86.49$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fe…8794backed Royals | 49c | 85.96$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b3…9b71backed Cardinals | 53c | 85.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41dd…cf40backed Cardinals | 51c | 84$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6333…9eb8backed Royals | 49c | 84$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec40…f0abbacked Cardinals | 38c | 83.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1d…ca6ebacked Cardinals | 51c | 83$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcc…8820backed Cardinals | 51c | 83$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc123…e228backed Royals | 49c | 83$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…1f84backed Royals | 49c | 83$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb34d…3f5ebacked Royals | 49c | 82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b7adbacked Cardinals | 51c | 82$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.