MLB · resolved market
White Sox vs. Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd14797d0c2235e96ffcc087beebe71cfe4b0d8c2f0e26383dcc3d32a23ddcec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- White Soxof White Sox, Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,089
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,331
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,089 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Reds | 21c | 5,137$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.65 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed White Sox | 36c | 3,894$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,498.71 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…3b96backed Reds | 65c | 3,077$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked White Sox | 33c | 1,515$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.8 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb37c…164ebacked Reds | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Reds | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…4d99backed White Sox | 32c | 1,480$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.35 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…8687backed Reds | 69c | 1,459$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed White Sox | 39c | 1,154$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.17 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked White Sox | 31c | 1,006$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.97 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed White Sox | 32c | 946.67$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.74 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked White Sox | 65c | 898.1$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.91 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x404e…5724backed White Sox | 32c | 820$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked White Sox | 32c | 742.73$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.06 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…6eb4backed Reds | 68c | 730$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed White Sox | 34c | 726.67$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.6 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Reds | 64c | 715$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.6 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked White Sox | 36c | 680$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.2 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Reds | 39c | 677.96$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.4 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Reds | 29c | 516$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.01 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Reds | 50c | 495.66$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x338e…42cbbacked White Sox | 36c | 405.22$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.34 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Reds | 68c | 366.1$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.95 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Reds | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Reds | 68c | 293.7$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…ccbdbacked Reds | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53b7…6c96backed Reds | 65c | 209.92$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.45 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Reds | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Reds | 32c | 158$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.56 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Reds | 22c | 145.45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Reds | 68c | 110.29$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Reds | 32c | 109.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Reds | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Reds | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Reds | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981a…f343backed Reds | 68c | 90$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked White Sox | 52c | 74.37$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.74 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed White Sox | 39c | 72$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.67 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4887…179dbacked Reds | 68c | 62.54$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.53 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Reds | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed White Sox | 32c | 59.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked Reds | 59c | 56.03$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed White Sox | 33c | 55.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.15 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Reds | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Reds | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd52…577bbacked White Sox | 33c | 47.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.55 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b07…a0c7backed White Sox | 33c | 43.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.03 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…c1cebacked White Sox | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf980…6697backed White Sox | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed White Sox | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked White Sox | 37c | 39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…4081backed White Sox | 33c | 38.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Reds | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked White Sox | 36c | 35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Reds | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Reds | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Reds | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae3a…bdd7backed Reds | 68c | 27.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8065…4950backed Reds | 69c | 26.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c2…f57abacked Reds | 69c | 26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…d2e3backed Reds | 69c | 25.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x012e…75f3backed Reds | 68c | 25.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2be…f489backed Reds | 69c | 24.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -5.1wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a3…8b71backed Reds | 68c | 24.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4dd1backed Reds | 69c | 23.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c73…378fbacked Reds | 68c | 23.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe03…b864backed Reds | 68c | 19.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…23f5backed Reds | 68c | 18.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a39…d1f3backed Reds | 68c | 16.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2966…4e4ebacked Reds | 68c | 16.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -31%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…7d1fbacked Reds | 68c | 15.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.