CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lazer Cats vs TNC - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd4585fe52bba0108bc6120d34ac6a8aba6b3013c3ff98a68fe7d9b5255a9ec1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lazer Catsof Lazer Cats, TNC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,628
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,599
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,628 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x196b…4151backed TNC | 2c | 2,625$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 108 | 0.9%1 W · 107 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked TNC | 68c | 1,978$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.23 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…cd14backed TNC | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 119 | 0.8%1 W · 118 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed TNC | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 215 | 0.9%2 W · 213 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…c1c3backed Lazer Cats | 40c | 1,041$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.77 | 55 | 74.5%41 W · 14 L | +10.6wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +36%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x51f9…19a0backed TNC | 1c | 1,003$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 20 | 90%18 W · 2 L | +5.3wins | +0.27per pick | 63cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Lazer Cats | 33c | 741.66$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.15 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed TNC | 60c | 662.54$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 333 | 59.8%199 W · 134 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked Lazer Cats | 63c | 434.17$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.44 | 220 | 56.8%125 W · 95 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed TNC | 11c | 397.08$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.79 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked TNC | 58c | 390$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.25 | 303 | 48.5%147 W · 156 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Lazer Cats | 30c | 354.96$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.18 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Lazer Cats | 36c | 259.42$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.88 | 266 | 24.4%65 W · 201 L | -26.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked TNC | 35c | 220.07$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.04 | 2,454 | 34.4%845 W · 1,609 L | -189.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Lazer Cats | 34c | 200.01$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.01 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Lazer Cats | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 2,520 | 43%1,084 W · 1,436 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Lazer Cats | 70c | 157.17$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.75 | 1,007 | 52.4%528 W · 479 L | +27.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed Lazer Cats | 32c | 150$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed TNC | 31c | 148$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.33 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Lazer Cats | 32c | 113.75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.35 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed TNC | 72c | 109.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.36 | 1,037 | 39.8%413 W · 624 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked TNC | 23c | 100.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 3,888 | 36.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L | -197.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed TNC | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.98 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Lazer Cats | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 834 | 43.6%364 W · 470 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Lazer Cats | 33c | 98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.32 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked TNC | 24c | 96.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 2,770 | 37.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L | -139.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2469…4812backed Lazer Cats | 30c | 63.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.79 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked TNC | 34c | 54.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2015…9678backed Lazer Cats | 42c | 52.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Lazer Cats | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 3,165 | 45.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L | -74.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed TNC | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 2,343 | 46.7%1,094 W · 1,249 L | -49.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb441…f757backed Lazer Cats | 71c | 44.44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 187 | 54%101 W · 86 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed TNC | 62c | 42.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 2,608 | 30.9%807 W · 1,801 L | -103.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0529…44bbbacked Lazer Cats | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Lazer Cats vs TNC - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Lazer Cats vs TNC (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group CTNC won
- Counter-Strike: Lazer Cats vs TNC - Map 1 WinnerTNC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.