MLB · resolved market
KBO: NC Dinos vs. SSG Landers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd4ce55605df0a330ba4d322ee365721950fea919b3a36593e839ba42f716b47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SSG Landersof NC Dinos, SSG Landers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,763
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,162
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,763 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed SSG Landers | 44c | 680.36$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.6 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked NC Dinos | 55c | 510.79$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.93 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed SSG Landers | 44c | 499.99$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed NC Dinos | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked SSG Landers | 45c | 481.57$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.86 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed SSG Landers | 39c | 372.92$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.52 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked SSG Landers | 44c | 372.73$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.73 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NC Dinos | 56c | 329.46$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.48 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked SSG Landers | 4c | 325.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.69 | 83 | 4.8%4 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed NC Dinos | 52c | 320.35$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.4 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa947…1859backed NC Dinos | 56c | 319.57$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.96 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked NC Dinos | 56c | 312$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.6 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked NC Dinos | 9c | 308.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 102 | 15.7%16 W · 86 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…30a4backed SSG Landers | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked SSG Landers | 67c | 250.35$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.41 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed NC Dinos | 57c | 200$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.45 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed SSG Landers | 45c | 199.98$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.99 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed SSG Landers | 51c | 188.96$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.96 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0e…5e62backed SSG Landers | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed NC Dinos | 57c | 177$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.89 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed NC Dinos | 56c | 156.6$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.45 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed SSG Landers | 43c | 135$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.91 | 186 | 48.4%90 W · 96 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed NC Dinos | 62c | 113.49$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.13 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked NC Dinos | 55c | 112.48$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.86 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed SSG Landers | 43c | 106.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.75 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed SSG Landers | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x768d…d230backed SSG Landers | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked SSG Landers | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f1…1c7abacked SSG Landers | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed NC Dinos | 56c | 91.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.24 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…8066backed NC Dinos | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed NC Dinos | 56c | 89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed SSG Landers | 45c | 88.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed NC Dinos | 54c | 88.38$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa22f…e194backed NC Dinos | 42c | 86.86$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.61 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed SSG Landers | 44c | 84$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.34 | 395 | 53.7%212 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed NC Dinos | 57c | 82.7$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.14 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked NC Dinos | 53c | 81.94$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.03 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed SSG Landers | 50c | 81.6$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…6bcfbacked SSG Landers | 50c | 80.95$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.45 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x165b…711cbacked SSG Landers | 53c | 75.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.48 | 171 | 50.9%87 W · 84 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked NC Dinos | 55c | 68.27$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…4b58backed NC Dinos | 26c | 67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked NC Dinos | 45c | 58.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed NC Dinos | 52c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed NC Dinos | 63c | 51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed NC Dinos | 65c | 51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x238d…eb74backed SSG Landers | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed SSG Landers | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked NC Dinos | 52c | 47.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…8b20backed NC Dinos | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed SSG Landers | 46c | 35.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed SSG Landers | 44c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed NC Dinos | 56c | 29.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed NC Dinos | 55c | 28.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed NC Dinos | 52c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -10.2wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked NC Dinos | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.