Tennis · resolved market
Monza: Rei Sakamoto vs Luca Van Assche
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd7fcc39d7e587150604e3ac7dd315983c7b7e2843b0525e63e66e4c4480eeea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Luca Van Asscheof Rei Sakamoto, Luca Van Assche
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,976
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,705
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,976 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Rei Sakamoto | 30c | 2,100$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.37 | 6,596 | 50.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L | +259.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Rei Sakamoto | 20c | 1,597$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.14 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e1…f17fbacked Luca Van Assche | 71c | 1,246$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.39 | 244 | 63.5%155 W · 89 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Rei Sakamoto | 15c | 1,115$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.82 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cb…7588backed Rei Sakamoto | 29c | 925.14$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.29 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…1ad7backed Rei Sakamoto | 13c | 729.66$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.78 | 270 | 40%108 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Luca Van Assche | 69c | 650.71$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.39 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Rei Sakamoto | 15c | 610.87$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.08 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Rei Sakamoto | 30c | 549.96$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.02 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Rei Sakamoto | 29c | 546.32$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.43 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Luca Van Assche | 77c | 415.54$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.3 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Rei Sakamoto | 13c | 353.77$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Rei Sakamoto | 19c | 333$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.72 | 6,740 | 48.8%3,288 W · 3,452 L | +58.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Luca Van Assche | 60c | 327.34$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.53 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Luca Van Assche | 71c | 275.52$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.96 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Luca Van Assche | 74c | 262.15$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.72 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rei Sakamoto | 13c | 247.39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Luca Van Assche | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…934dbacked Rei Sakamoto | 15c | 199.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 307 | 15.6%48 W · 259 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…e45bbacked Rei Sakamoto | 29c | 198.08$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.44 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Rei Sakamoto | 28c | 174.01$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 281 | 41.6%117 W · 164 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Luca Van Assche | 67c | 162.71$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.7 | 1,895 | 48.1%911 W · 984 L | +15.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Luca Van Assche | 67c | 162.71$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.7 | 389 | 55.3%215 W · 174 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Rei Sakamoto | 28c | 149.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 292 | 30.5%89 W · 203 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b64…a351backed Luca Van Assche | 71c | 147.76$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.61 | 352 | 68.2%240 W · 112 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Luca Van Assche | 70c | 139.72$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 844 | 68.5%578 W · 266 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd194…24b8backed Rei Sakamoto | 28c | 138.95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | +14.8wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Rei Sakamoto | 33c | 138.06$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.13 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Rei Sakamoto | 29c | 138$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 7,100 | 49.7%3,530 W · 3,570 L | +107.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Rei Sakamoto | 21c | 137.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Rei Sakamoto | 29c | 129.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 866 | 35.5%307 W · 559 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Luca Van Assche | 70c | 103.23$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Luca Van Assche | 70c | 98.2$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed Rei Sakamoto | 29c | 97.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed Luca Van Assche | 65c | 97.9$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.26 | 112 | 63.4%71 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Rei Sakamoto | 26c | 86.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 4,647 | 49.3%2,291 W · 2,356 L | +159.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63c4…26f2backed Luca Van Assche | 72c | 80.7$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 171 | 45.6%78 W · 93 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Rei Sakamoto | 29c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 2,056 | 59.5%1,224 W · 832 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Rei Sakamoto | 26c | 73.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2,111 | 56.1%1,184 W · 927 L | +42.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22fa…1c93backed Rei Sakamoto | 31c | 72.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ed…72efbacked Rei Sakamoto | 26c | 71.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 387 | 54.3%210 W · 177 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Luca Van Assche | 66c | 71.55$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 6,685 | 36.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L | -96.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Luca Van Assche | 68c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 891 | 64.3%573 W · 318 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40e…9addbacked Luca Van Assche | 71c | 69.57$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 371 | 63.6%236 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a30…34b1backed Luca Van Assche | 75c | 65.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 169 | 61.5%104 W · 65 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf91…dc43backed Luca Van Assche | 70c | 64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 132 | 61.4%81 W · 51 L | +11.0wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Rei Sakamoto | 27c | 50.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 361 | 35.7%129 W · 232 L | -35.1wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Rei Sakamoto | 29c | 49.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b3…f8c1backed Luca Van Assche | 78c | 45.53$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d3…c884backed Luca Van Assche | 72c | 45.06$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 73cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0c…a98fbacked Luca Van Assche | 70c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59db…2e36backed Luca Van Assche | 62c | 43.54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 147 | 72.8%107 W · 40 L | +19.7wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3353…5ab2backed Rei Sakamoto | 31c | 43.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Luca Van Assche | 67c | 43.13$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 643 | 58.8%378 W · 265 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Luca Van Assche | 74c | 40.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 4,584 | 48.3%2,215 W · 2,369 L | +35.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Luca Van Assche | 79c | 37.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 506 | 44.9%227 W · 279 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9a…c347backed Rei Sakamoto | 31c | 34.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c05…d733backed Luca Van Assche | 60c | 33.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked Luca Van Assche | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Luca Van Assche | 68c | 28.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Luca Van Assche | 71c | 27.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 450 | 51.8%233 W · 217 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Luca Van Assche | 71c | 27.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 591 | 66.7%394 W · 197 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Luca Van Assche | 71c | 26.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…7364backed Luca Van Assche | 67c | 21.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Luca Van Assche | 64c | 19.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 572 | 67.3%385 W · 187 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fe…09c9backed Luca Van Assche | 72c | 15.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 220 | 49.5%109 W · 111 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked Luca Van Assche | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fcb…3ba4backed Luca Van Assche | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.