CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs Bebop - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfdcd75baf3631c287b6b8d47fca2eb87f02ed747bd70e7330926444e663ed03a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MASONICof MASONIC, Bebop
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,650
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,650 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Bebop | 31c | 2,058$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.54 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed MASONIC | 58c | 1,213$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.89 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed MASONIC | 48c | 945$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.95 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Bebop | 41c | 904.46$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.83 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…4332backed MASONIC | 50c | 531.25$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.25 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | -17.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bebop | 51c | 493.88$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.11 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Bebop | 52c | 424.83$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.55 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…4065backed MASONIC | 50c | 400$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.2 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed MASONIC | 51c | 395.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.37 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked MASONIC | 76c | 355$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.54 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Bebop | 44c | 347.48$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.08 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked MASONIC | 59c | 260.25$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.4 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Bebop | 44c | 258.39$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.56 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Bebop | 54c | 205$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.85 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Bebop | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.9 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d7…bbf6backed MASONIC | 74c | 198.21$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.88 | 194 | 68.6%133 W · 61 L | +25.9wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Bebop | 52c | 192$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.89 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked MASONIC | 65c | 188.3$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.05 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Bebop | 53c | 175$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Bebop | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.23 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Bebop | 36c | 144.29$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.11 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd8…d64cbacked MASONIC | 49c | 124.98$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.74 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…da03backed MASONIC | 50c | 118$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…9a02backed Bebop | 32c | 88.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Bebop | 29c | 86.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Bebop | 36c | 82.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Bebop | 38c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 379 | 22.2%84 W · 295 L | -43.1wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…faaebacked MASONIC | 72c | 79.53$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked MASONIC | 42c | 79$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.22 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked MASONIC | 42c | 78.45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 143 | 35%50 W · 93 L | -13.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Bebop | 47c | 76.37$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.94 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked MASONIC | 46c | 76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Bebop | 53c | 72.27$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 421 | 54.6%230 W · 191 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Bebop | 51c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Bebop | 42c | 49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Bebop | 59c | 48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Bebop | 58c | 47.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf49a…8981backed MASONIC | 47c | 43.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Bebop | 41c | 43.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed MASONIC | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Bebop | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Bebop | 62c | 36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed MASONIC | 45c | 22.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 235 | 26.4%62 W · 173 L | -15.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed MASONIC | 45c | 22.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 176 | 26.1%46 W · 130 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x395a…eb72backed MASONIC | 75c | 16.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 75 | 72%54 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs Bebop - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group StageMASONIC won
- Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs Bebop - Map 2 WinnerMASONIC won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: BBP (-1.5) vs MASONIC (+1.5)MASONIC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.