TailMyPicks
Market

Tennis · resolved market

ITF Tauste: Belle Thompson vs Celia Anson Sanchez

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Belle Thompsonof Belle Thompson, Celia Anson Sanchez
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,843
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,849

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,843 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd218…b5c9backed Celia Anson Sanchez3c17,326$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.066,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc07d…b1dfbacked Celia Anson Sanchez56c6,107$3,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,391.642,38355.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L+49.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Celia Anson Sanchez56c2,230$1,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,246.342,77653.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L+69.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Belle Thompson44c1,773$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.6711,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Celia Anson Sanchez72c1,721$1,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,236.7249752.3%260 W · 237 L+28.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+34.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Belle Thompson44c1,404$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.11,77252.1%923 W · 849 L-1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7738…5dbdbacked Belle Thompson64c1,050$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.0848756.5%275 W · 212 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e38…1b52backed Celia Anson Sanchez22c999.94$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.9961924.4%151 W · 468 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked Belle Thompson58c899.71$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.4637257.5%214 W · 158 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc26a…b715backed Belle Thompson30c751.32$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.6857321.8%125 W · 448 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Celia Anson Sanchez30c691.57$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.491,84241%755 W · 1,087 L-31.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Celia Anson Sanchez53c549.43$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.036,51254.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L+289.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Belle Thompson72c449.26$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.8938652.3%202 W · 184 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Belle Thompson42c401.99$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.643,71145.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88a9…e618backed Belle Thompson8c375$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34596755%532 W · 435 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26be…805fbacked Belle Thompson78c320.51$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5137849.2%186 W · 192 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4232…d505backed Celia Anson Sanchez30c314.73$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9737534.9%131 W · 244 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Celia Anson Sanchez27c295.76$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.195,32528.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L-21.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Belle Thompson72c277.77$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.781,15841.4%479 W · 679 L+24.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Celia Anson Sanchez63c269.47$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.771,14853%608 W · 540 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2965…0dedbacked Celia Anson Sanchez48c261.24$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.9258539.5%231 W · 354 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Celia Anson Sanchez11c236.49$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.556,57446.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L-45.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Belle Thompson73c211.41$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.691,12551.1%575 W · 550 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Celia Anson Sanchez52c201.92$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051,14447.2%540 W · 604 L+64.7wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Celia Anson Sanchez54c196.3$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1061,09160.2%657 W · 434 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3054…055bbacked Belle Thompson36c188.16$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.3413752.6%72 W · 65 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Celia Anson Sanchez54c179.22$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.141,23446.3%571 W · 663 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Belle Thompson40c171$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.211,34949.8%672 W · 677 L-6.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Celia Anson Sanchez28c157.67$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.062,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdd5f…c343backed Celia Anson Sanchez26c150$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395414.8%8 W · 46 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf01f…e8fbbacked Belle Thompson74c150$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3926426.9%71 W · 193 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ce8…4dd6backed Belle Thompson67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2557950.9%295 W · 284 L+2.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0813…41e1backed Belle Thompson67c149$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.1737158.8%218 W · 153 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d78…a4ccbacked Belle Thompson72c140$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.233155.6%184 W · 147 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Celia Anson Sanchez54c139.56$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762,63946.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Celia Anson Sanchez28c137.94$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.627,10739.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L-17.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Celia Anson Sanchez20c136.53$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.081,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0xe24e…eecebacked Belle Thompson78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2189754.6%490 W · 407 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73c3…fd98backed Belle Thompson18c127.78$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.789354.8%51 W · 42 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x574e…0436backed Belle Thompson18c127.78$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.7823754.4%129 W · 108 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x66ac…5e75backed Belle Thompson18c127.78$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.7895655.9%534 W · 422 L+19.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Celia Anson Sanchez42c124.32$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.621,00843.8%442 W · 566 L-2.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56f6…cda7backed Celia Anson Sanchez71c112.2$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9914846.6%69 W · 79 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc85…aa54backed Celia Anson Sanchez71c111.03$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3512248.4%59 W · 63 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8a9…3579backed Celia Anson Sanchez39c105.41$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.784637%17 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64ec…931dbacked Celia Anson Sanchez39c101.32$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4044036.8%162 W · 278 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Celia Anson Sanchez27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.62,08952.2%1,090 W · 999 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Celia Anson Sanchez70c98.55$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.7796945.9%445 W · 524 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Celia Anson Sanchez54c95$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3172755.6%404 W · 323 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…ba31backed Belle Thompson53c85.08$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.582015%3 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.16per pick31cpaid-52.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6e2f…9123backed Celia Anson Sanchez53c81.64$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2731656.3%178 W · 138 L+19.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Celia Anson Sanchez73c81.1$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.335549.1%27 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a0d…337dbacked Celia Anson Sanchez72c75.14$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bc…3503backed Belle Thompson60c73.61$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5711968.9%82 W · 37 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Celia Anson Sanchez37c72$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.765,49848.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L+10.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e69…553abacked Belle Thompson78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.196255.8%537 W · 425 L+21.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed Celia Anson Sanchez50c62$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3179646%366 W · 430 L+1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x103f…86dbbacked Celia Anson Sanchez62c56.53$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.116362%101 W · 62 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Celia Anson Sanchez53c50.92$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0143552.9%230 W · 205 L+0.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e8a…a117backed Celia Anson Sanchez54c46.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.79657.3%55 W · 41 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Celia Anson Sanchez59c46$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.181,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Celia Anson Sanchez56c45.32$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.61,78548.7%869 W · 916 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c97…5c66backed Belle Thompson71c42.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2548355.1%266 W · 217 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe29…eb76backed Belle Thompson48c42.1$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8918330.1%55 W · 128 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26d0…566ebacked Belle Thompson72c41.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6748552.4%254 W · 231 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaaa…6783backed Celia Anson Sanchez72c40.85$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.362445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Celia Anson Sanchez38c39.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1691163.9%582 W · 329 L+66.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xef1f…d517backed Celia Anson Sanchez70c38.49$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.94333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-58.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Celia Anson Sanchez27c36.38$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Belle Thompson72c31$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.681,79460.2%1,080 W · 714 L+6.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe34c…ca55backed Belle Thompson42c30.71$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8110252%53 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Celia Anson Sanchez36c30.1$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.751565.8%9 W · 147 L-32.4wins-0.21per pick27cpaid-64.6%equal weight30-0.18 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Celia Anson Sanchez58c21.39$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.52,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccc4…4193backed Celia Anson Sanchez71c21.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-43.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf051…900ebacked Belle Thompson66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7710368.9%71 W · 32 L+8.9wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x41c8…424fbacked Celia Anson Sanchez73c18.89$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7612958.1%75 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Celia Anson Sanchez56c18.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51,42555.1%785 W · 640 L+23.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ea…42e8backed Belle Thompson71c17.37$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.0490459.5%538 W · 366 L+0.9wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Belle Thompson71c15.2$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.351,72350.1%863 W · 860 L+29.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb457…ae09backed Celia Anson Sanchez70c14.8$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3620%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.