TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs ASTRAL (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
ASTRALof Leo Team, ASTRAL
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$102,229
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$117,220

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,229 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Leo Team55c13,374$7,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,355.4377052.7%406 W · 364 L+28.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19bd…ae36backed Leo Team0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked Leo Team55c10,000$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,499.9716245.1%73 W · 89 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed ASTRAL45c7,406$3,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,073.0614051.4%72 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked ASTRAL45c6,463$2,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,559.955,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Leo Team43c5,386$2,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,331.353,25950.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L+98.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1137…e601backed ASTRAL45c3,287$1,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,808.641241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked ASTRAL54c2,838$1,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,297.691,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Leo Team43c2,550$1,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,105.386,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed Leo Team2c2,250$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451080.9%1 W · 107 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-76.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Leo Team1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202150.9%2 W · 213 L-1.1wins0.00per pick1cpaid-31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked ASTRAL45c1,793$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.151,02052.2%532 W · 488 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed ASTRAL44c1,600$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8961,42333.6%478 W · 945 L+41.8wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed ASTRAL44c1,545$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865.3667951.4%349 W · 330 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed Leo Team56c1,522$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.4420249%99 W · 103 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a05…cd14backed Leo Team1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151190.8%1 W · 118 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-37%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked Leo Team42c1,200$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50028443.7%124 W · 160 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf56c…fcbdbacked ASTRAL42c1,170$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.735749.9%178 W · 179 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0115…2552backed Leo Team45c1,162$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5221457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x787f…d40cbacked ASTRAL44c1,150$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.0828440.5%115 W · 169 L-17.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b9c…a518backed Leo Team56c1,013$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.4917445.4%79 W · 95 L-8.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Leo Team56c999.99$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.9926154.4%142 W · 119 L-0.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Leo Team55c999.99$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.991,08950.9%554 W · 535 L+38.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Leo Team56c999.98$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.9960848%292 W · 316 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdd2…0abfbacked ASTRAL45c888.89$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.897843.6%34 W · 44 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2067…7350backed ASTRAL46c868.62$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.6227657.6%159 W · 117 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed ASTRAL45c840.26$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.1121745.2%98 W · 119 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9438…e019backed Leo Team56c750$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4209642.7%41 W · 55 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb888…b15bbacked Leo Team42c740.45$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3103228.1%9 W · 23 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-32.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Leo Team56c714.28$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002,03053.7%1,091 W · 939 L+6.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed ASTRAL59c704.9$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.9378043.7%341 W · 439 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed ASTRAL45c678$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.923732.9%78 W · 159 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed ASTRAL54c652.51$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.161546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Leo Team56c636.36$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.3661055.9%341 W · 269 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x623d…3aeebacked ASTRAL45c618.73$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.7310137.6%38 W · 63 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x24d2…92c5backed ASTRAL45c600$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33012638.9%49 W · 77 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked Leo Team55c578.97$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.436040%24 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Leo Team43c568.05$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.64,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88db…54a4backed ASTRAL45c564.44$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.445242.3%22 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked ASTRAL79c546.32$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.467,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x218b…625abacked ASTRAL44c508.27$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.9623129%67 W · 164 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked ASTRAL45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27594945.8%435 W · 514 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed ASTRAL45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2755,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed ASTRAL54c499.99$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23039245.9%180 W · 212 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Leo Team55c487.14$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.9347655%262 W · 214 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked ASTRAL62c475.25$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.321,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc65…19a0backed ASTRAL22c474.25$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.17739%30 W · 47 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e9e…102abacked ASTRAL45c450$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.59757.7%56 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x18f3…0c20backed ASTRAL45c440$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24226155.2%144 W · 117 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Leo Team55c430.64$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.8561654.9%338 W · 278 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa97d…e699backed Leo Team35c429.7$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.113537.1%13 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-35.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed ASTRAL44c427.99$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.632139.9%128 W · 193 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6dea…e294backed ASTRAL58c417$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.1935948.5%174 W · 185 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked ASTRAL50c400.28$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.7819342.5%82 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f41…547cbacked ASTRAL61c382.26$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.0824447.1%115 W · 129 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b0c…d43abacked ASTRAL44c372.8$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.9547047.9%225 W · 245 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Leo Team32c347.3$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.372,19543.1%946 W · 1,249 L-68.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed ASTRAL48c327.49$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.672,64551.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L+21.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed ASTRAL68c312.99$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.6749843%214 W · 284 L-16.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2542…7821backed ASTRAL64c311.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.825257.7%30 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+4.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Leo Team46c304.35$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14061638.1%235 W · 381 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1d5…54d5backed Leo Team25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.9241450.7%210 W · 204 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Leo Team55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16559841.3%247 W · 351 L-20.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ade…fb15backed ASTRAL66c285$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.1219748.7%96 W · 101 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked ASTRAL45c273.33$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.3363541.9%266 W · 369 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4711…ce32backed Leo Team52c259.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.29736.1%35 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked ASTRAL45c256.67$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.1754743.7%239 W · 308 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed ASTRAL77c250$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.515050%75 W · 75 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Leo Team35c248.61$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.213,94936.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L-201.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Leo Team11c245$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.442,79837.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L-138.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d03…100ebacked ASTRAL65c229.68$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.6841069.3%284 W · 126 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked ASTRAL65c227.69$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.6936145.4%164 W · 197 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Leo Team27c210.81$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.961,28322%282 W · 1,001 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x206c…2b8dbacked ASTRAL45c200.44$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.246744.8%30 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed ASTRAL45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1102,52743.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L+42.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb441…f757backed ASTRAL38c195.88$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.8718754%101 W · 86 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8db8…412ebacked ASTRAL27c191.59$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.923100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+181.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Leo Team42c190.97$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.765,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed ASTRAL55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8240449.8%201 W · 203 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa442…dca3backed ASTRAL52c175$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8430354.5%165 W · 138 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed ASTRAL21c175$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.372,55441.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L-116.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked ASTRAL62c168.28$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.84,75443.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc218…2c33backed ASTRAL66c166.79$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.791485.7%12 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.21per pick65cpaid+27.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2eb9…8d05backed Leo Team30c165.33$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4914653.4%78 W · 68 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Leo Team53c160.16$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.71,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Leo Team50c158.45$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.72,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked ASTRAL45c157.78$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.7827549.5%136 W · 139 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Leo Team39c156.81$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.861,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Leo Team68c150.88$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ddd…1ad3backed Leo Team55c150$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.516754.5%91 W · 76 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1be…6471backed ASTRAL45c144.44$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.4442757.8%247 W · 180 L+0.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8248…c0b2backed Leo Team69c140$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.620750.7%105 W · 102 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Leo Team55c129.99$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.565946.6%307 W · 352 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6200…7d23backed Leo Team34c124.88$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6716036.3%58 W · 102 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50fb…60cbbacked ASTRAL67c120$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.62634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9311…e731backed Leo Team17c117.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206860.3%41 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Leo Team28c117.22$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.12,39742.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Leo Team35c117.07$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.793,54429.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L-289.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x53b1…8e43backed Leo Team23c114.73$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.821947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8da6…107abacked ASTRAL45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1112948.8%63 W · 66 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.