Tennis · resolved market
Tunis: Jay Clarke vs Moez Echargui
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe68bd342084e4975d4d8be31da07044c7047321a701f15e23e3e234574235ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jay Clarkeof Jay Clarke, Moez Echargui
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,519
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,519 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Moez Echargui | 23c | 5,211$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.74 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Moez Echargui | 45c | 4,139$1,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,842 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Jay Clarke | 65c | 4,086$2,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.42 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Moez Echargui | 8c | 2,665$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.95 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Jay Clarke | 74c | 1,987$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.5 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Jay Clarke | 72c | 1,374$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.38 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Jay Clarke | 59c | 932.41$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.41 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Moez Echargui | 3c | 862.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Jay Clarke | 54c | 630$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.8 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Moez Echargui | 39c | 598.41$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.2 | 552 | 41.3%228 W · 324 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Jay Clarke | 75c | 592.58$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.94 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jay Clarke | 62c | 432.68$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.37 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Jay Clarke | 55c | 382$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.9 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Moez Echargui | 15c | 356.92$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.96 | 1,028 | 43.3%445 W · 583 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Moez Echargui | 25c | 339.97$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.61 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked Jay Clarke | 58c | 255.64$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.37 | 304 | 36.2%110 W · 194 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe08d…7b1bbacked Moez Echargui | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Jay Clarke | 57c | 230$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.9 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Moez Echargui | 37c | 223.59$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.76 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jay Clarke | 50c | 195.12$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.56 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Moez Echargui | 41c | 189.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.9 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Moez Echargui | 20c | 184.12$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.82 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Moez Echargui | 39c | 179.49$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 432 | 42.4%183 W · 249 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Jay Clarke | 61c | 170.33$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.43 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Jay Clarke | 59c | 169.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.5 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Jay Clarke | 62c | 155.04$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.6 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Jay Clarke | 60c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.75 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Jay Clarke | 62c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 491 | 42.8%210 W · 281 L | -15.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Moez Echargui | 38c | 139.47$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 643 | 50.2%323 W · 320 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Moez Echargui | 39c | 128.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 363 | 49.6%180 W · 183 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Jay Clarke | 76c | 120.78$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Jay Clarke | 62c | 120.48$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.78 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Moez Echargui | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…2c42backed Moez Echargui | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Jay Clarke | 55c | 81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…7dffbacked Moez Echargui | 14c | 78.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 144 | 15.3%22 W · 122 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Moez Echargui | 37c | 72.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Moez Echargui | 39c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 245 | 47.8%117 W · 128 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Jay Clarke | 74c | 57.02$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Jay Clarke | 75c | 53.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed Moez Echargui | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Moez Echargui | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 326 | 49.1%160 W · 166 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Moez Echargui | 38c | 49.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Jay Clarke | 55c | 46.86$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Jay Clarke | 76c | 40.39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Jay Clarke | 59c | 35.83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Moez Echargui | 38c | 35.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba8…90a3backed Jay Clarke | 63c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 488 | 52.9%258 W · 230 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Jay Clarke | 61c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 468 | 48.5%227 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ced…9753backed Moez Echargui | 37c | 29.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Moez Echargui | 42c | 27.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Moez Echargui | 40c | 25.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Jay Clarke | 72c | 23.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Jay Clarke | 60c | 23.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Jay Clarke | 60c | 21.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Jay Clarke | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Jay Clarke | 59c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.