Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Cal Poly Mustangs vs. Bakersfield Roadrunners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfebc47b4be1603a70653ff2befc0485ac8c226870f169c6a0a3efe0550717dc7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cal Poly Mustangsof Cal Poly Mustangs, Bakersfield Roadrunners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,522
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,591
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,522 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 247 | 48.2%119 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 52c | 2,494$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.54 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 52c | 1,067$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.17 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 52c | 718$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.64 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 52c | 317.31$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.31 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 18c | 287.95$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.89 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 33c | 263$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.27 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 52c | 208.33$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 51c | 196.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.67 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 26c | 139.64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 77c | 126.52$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 50c | 112$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 50c | 112$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 60c | 110.25$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.12 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 52c | 102$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 70c | 96.7$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfe…2fd8backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 46c | 71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 53c | 69.76$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.06 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 233 | 31.3%73 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 52c | 56.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.33 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 53c | 51.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 48c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 53c | 36.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 74c | 36.25$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 52c | 31.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83fb…e89bbacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 169 | 52.7%89 W · 80 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 46c | 27.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 53c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 53c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cal Poly Mustangs vs. Bakersfield Roadrunnersthis page
- Cal Poly Mustangs vs. Bakersfield Roadrunners: O/U 160.5Over won
- Cal Poly Mustangs vs. Bakersfield Roadrunners: O/U 161.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.