CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: LAG Gaming vs Team Aether (BO3) - CCT North America Series #4 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfee92ac02d2961cde618e6063ef5253861396f9b1058d9fca231869e67cd58be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Aetherof LAG Gaming, Team Aether
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,631
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,821
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,631 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a14…d748backed LAG Gaming | 41c | 1,172$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.87 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Aether | 54c | 1,033$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.69 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Aether | 47c | 768.91$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.66 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Team Aether | 51c | 715.94$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.41 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed LAG Gaming | 59c | 678.87$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.87 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Team Aether | 23c | 672.01$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.39 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca82…fcfebacked LAG Gaming | 76c | 644.37$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.35 | 149 | 71.8%107 W · 42 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Team Aether | 31c | 608.07$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.82 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Team Aether | 28c | 490.15$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.05 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed LAG Gaming | 77c | 384.6$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.85 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed LAG Gaming | 57c | 323.37$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.61 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed LAG Gaming | 44c | 288.86$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.81 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Team Aether | 67c | 287.82$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.59 | 250 | 42.8%107 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed LAG Gaming | 8c | 246.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Aether | 42c | 240.91$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.5 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Team Aether | 44c | 234.84$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.47 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Team Aether | 51c | 201.11$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.53 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Team Aether | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…b3debacked Team Aether | 38c | 177.1$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.68 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Team Aether | 79c | 167.84$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Team Aether | 53c | 158.83$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.5 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked LAG Gaming | 68c | 150$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked LAG Gaming | 63c | 148.9$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.01 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed LAG Gaming | 60c | 130.65$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.73 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed Team Aether | 50c | 127.91$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c4…26f2backed Team Aether | 33c | 126.78$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.48 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed LAG Gaming | 57c | 126.35$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.02 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…d53ebacked Team Aether | 21c | 100.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.56 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked LAG Gaming | 73c | 92.43$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.18 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…3d55backed Team Aether | 54c | 90$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed Team Aether | 26c | 81.23$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.11 | 404 | 49.8%201 W · 203 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14a6…b1b6backed Team Aether | 25c | 76.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.33 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…f089backed LAG Gaming | 50c | 66.72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 321 | 38.3%123 W · 198 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked LAG Gaming | 53c | 61.85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb997…faacbacked LAG Gaming | 64c | 59.2$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Team Aether | 50c | 57.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa53f…8c53backed LAG Gaming | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -4.4wins | -0.37per pick | 45cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Team Aether | 49c | 51.49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b83…f841backed LAG Gaming | 50c | 50.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed LAG Gaming | 44c | 48.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Team Aether | 30c | 45.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda92…88c6backed Team Aether | 48c | 43.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Aether | 57c | 41.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3db2…be55backed Team Aether | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f9…111ebacked LAG Gaming | 68c | 35.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 42cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed LAG Gaming | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Team Aether | 38c | 27.37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Team Aether | 60c | 26.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf11a…1002backed LAG Gaming | 59c | 20.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 278 | 48.6%135 W · 143 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bd…626bbacked Team Aether | 57c | 20.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12e2…3c85backed Team Aether | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…58c4backed LAG Gaming | 66c | 19.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 117 | 68.4%80 W · 37 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Team Aether | 54c | 19.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed LAG Gaming | 71c | 14.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: LAG Gaming vs Team Aether (BO3) - CCT North America Series #4 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: LAG Gaming vs Team Aether - Map 1 WinnerTeam Aether won
- Counter-Strike: LAG Gaming vs Team Aether - Map 2 WinnerTeam Aether won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.