Europa Conference League · resolved market
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FC Twente: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff03e4ca34205671859136232d49b0836cb2cf2aff912a7cd6f6085600b5400c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,839
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,866
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,839 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 50c | 1,640$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.82 | 2,434 | 37.3%909 W · 1,525 L | -9.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 48c | 1,465$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.8 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 61c | 1,325$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.01 | 414 | 42.3%175 W · 239 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 39c | 956.27$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.95 | 1,041 | 48%500 W · 541 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 57c | 331$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.02 | 2,738 | 40.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…317abacked Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 8c | 243.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 933 | 41.4%386 W · 547 L | -15.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yes | 42c | 222.16$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.85 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed No | 55c | 182.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 39c | 162.45$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.36 | 1,222 | 45.3%553 W · 669 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 61c | 103.56$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.39 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51d2…1462backed Yes | 50c | 77.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.98 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed No | 38c | 69.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 277 | 37.9%105 W · 172 L | -17.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 40c | 52.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 1,290 | 49.1%633 W · 657 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3a…e85dbacked No | 45c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 343 | 23%79 W · 264 L | -43.3wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x53c8…7f69backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2af6…3b4fbacked Yes | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FC Twente: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FC Twente: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FC Twente: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FC Twente: FC Twente O/U 0.5Over won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FC Twente: FC Twente O/U 1.5Over won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FC Twente: O/U 0.5Over won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FC Twente: O/U 1.5Over won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FC Twente: O/U 2.5Over won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FC Twente: O/U 3.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FC Twente: O/U 4.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FC Twente: O/U 5.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FC Twente: Qarabağ Ağdam FK O/U 2.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FC Twente: Team to AdvanceFC Twente won
- Spread: FC Twente (-1.5)Qarabağ Ağdam FK won
- Spread: FC Twente (-2.5)Qarabağ Ağdam FK won
- Spread: Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-1.5)FC Twente won
- Spread: Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-2.5)FC Twente won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.