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Europa Conference League · resolved market

Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FC Twente: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,021
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,802

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,021 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under43c10,778$4,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,670.518037.8%68 W · 112 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Under70c7,918$5,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,525.1533442.5%142 W · 192 L-13.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fae…b849backed Under77c6,506$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under48c6,228$2,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,998.5712845.3%58 W · 70 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over27c5,716$1,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,163.982,43337.4%909 W · 1,524 L-9.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over43c5,277$2,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,015.833,24742.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L+4.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed Under41c2,783$1,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140.8911457%65 W · 49 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over37c2,542$942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,599.81,89538.7%734 W · 1,161 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under70c2,515$1,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,762.182,73840.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L-1.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over35c2,168$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,417.951,22245.3%553 W · 669 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over59c1,574$929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.5277248.8%377 W · 395 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c35…78abbacked Under15c1,528$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.28110%0 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81f8…4078backed Under6c1,473$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.671428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over57c1,379$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.771,29049.1%633 W · 657 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over33c1,364$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.0885142%357 W · 494 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under77c1,084$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.785244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over30c1,077$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.292,79534.8%973 W · 1,822 L-86.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07e8…faaebacked Over58c1,034$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.481877.8%14 W · 4 L+4.6wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+53%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf5aa…fd4abacked Over53c1,003$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41072550.2%364 W · 361 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Under47c738$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.864040%16 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdae8…42c1backed Under41c719.51$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over54c712.06$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.731353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under6c688.38$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.77817.9%14 W · 64 L+0.2wins0.00per pick18cpaid-54.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ea8…b821backed Under6c654.26$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.712133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-30.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked Over35c617.73$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.285100%5 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+94.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3824…e756backed Over55c556.67$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.172875%21 W · 7 L+4.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+30.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x383f…5631backed Over45c499.99$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2752931%9 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe398…4ce5backed Under70c497.94$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under43c495.23$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.954755.3%26 W · 21 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5630…6ca8backed Over38c451.16$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.163262.5%20 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over42c414.99$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.6693341.4%386 W · 547 L-15.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Under42c369$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.982850%14 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6779…2ff6backed Over59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.98450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over57c328$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.0447342.1%199 W · 274 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over59c327.59$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.221,21936.3%442 W · 777 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48f9…495abacked Under4c318.69$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over52c278.89$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.761,10345.3%500 W · 603 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over22c252.68$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.283733%276 W · 561 L-12.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda34…b1debacked Under6c230.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over33c220.76$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.8455953.1%297 W · 262 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab01…c9f1backed Over52c220.23$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.71560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+39.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Over53c214$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.5822237.8%84 W · 138 L-14.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc057…4d23backed Over28c199.86$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.91827.8%5 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick16cpaid+70.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under41c188$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.0841442.3%175 W · 239 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8e3…aaf2backed Over52c165$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.26100%6 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+79%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6c5f…dcdebacked Over51c156$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.44250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Over51c147.13$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4914240.8%58 W · 84 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xead7…4c25backed Under69c143.84$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.25742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick64cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under50c125$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.513754%74 W · 63 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over45c119.99$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.9919545.6%89 W · 106 L-11.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9306…bc66backed Under47c118.49$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.69250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Under11c112.36$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.369738.1%37 W · 60 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+31.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over58c100.95$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.881,03450.8%525 W · 509 L+16.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b18…dd26backed Under46c98.25$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.418149.4%40 W · 41 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaf5…c7b6backed Under66c92.42$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Over59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7514437.5%54 W · 90 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under50c75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.547036%169 W · 301 L-19.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3303…9895backed Under54c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa042…cba4backed Under67c73.4$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.181442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick34cpaid-16.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over43c72.95$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.7644251.6%228 W · 214 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over24c69.25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.6363249.1%310 W · 322 L+2.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over45c66.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.673933.3%13 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.58463.1%53 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe814…8ffabacked Under55c56.82$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.25650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e16…4698backed Over46c52.59$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.391241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x853e…f16abacked Over59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.853262.5%20 W · 12 L+4.7wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xac4c…2200backed Under48c45.31$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.75757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under43c44.63$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1227737.9%105 W · 172 L-17.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc1fd…10ccbacked Under67c44.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.652356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over46c39.41$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3967756.3%381 W · 296 L+34.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8d9…1059backed Over54c37.69$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.344564.4%29 W · 16 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+26.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed Under42c36.01$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1215345.1%69 W · 84 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x947d…dff0backed Under42c34.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.651656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3323259.1%137 W · 95 L-19.7wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-13%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9491…5eabbacked Over60c32.25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9f0…a0b1backed Over54c31.46$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.47580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8613…2f76backed Under47c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.692157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a3a…e85dbacked Under47c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.752560%15 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+28.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7629…226cbacked Over33c30.36$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.346759.7%40 W · 27 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3cf2…ac54backed Over54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.81656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ad6…eab6backed Under78c28.96$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.571546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.19per pick66cpaid-32.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf27…f35fbacked Under42c28.57$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125964.4%38 W · 21 L+8.1wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+30.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Over45c28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.554353.8%292 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5e8…6d91backed Under54c27.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa658…f93ebacked Under73c27.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1573…a727backed Over54c27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.421353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under47c23.41$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1133142.9%142 W · 189 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.416235.2%57 W · 105 L-25.3wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-38.5%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.45736.8%21 W · 36 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-28.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over57c19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1774939.4%295 W · 454 L-23.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over57c18.01$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.761,79354.8%983 W · 810 L+11.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0893…b132backed Under68c15.18$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.32650%3 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.