Europa Conference League · resolved market
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FC Twente: Team to Advance
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bcd5e3f1435b6715de790671bcf2c14253945ed58dcc7442f595b7616f086ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Twenteof Qarabağ Ağdam FK, FC Twente
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,503
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,052
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,503 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 74c | 2,881$2,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,126.05 | 838 | 45%377 W · 461 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed FC Twente | 15c | 2,218$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed FC Twente | 37c | 2,125$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.63 | 473 | 42.1%199 W · 274 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 62c | 1,949$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.39 | 414 | 42.3%175 W · 239 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 62c | 1,542$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.25 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed FC Twente | 39c | 1,201$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.86 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…104cbacked FC Twente | 74c | 948.58$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…920dbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 67c | 894.21$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.86 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac3…e2c1backed FC Twente | 22c | 878$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +346.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9709…52abbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 23c | 564.48$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.83 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed FC Twente | 76c | 405.96$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.29 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed FC Twente | 38c | 394.29$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.44 | 1,200 | 47.4%569 W · 631 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x383f…5631backed FC Twente | 22c | 300$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c68…6100backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 71c | 282.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed FC Twente | 34c | 225$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.5 | 1,290 | 49.1%633 W · 657 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 8c | 222.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 39c | 218.73$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.45 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked FC Twente | 45c | 206.63$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.22 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 45c | 175$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.04 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05ec…f767backed FC Twente | 34c | 159.26$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.11 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73aa…5501backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 66c | 159.26$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked FC Twente | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed FC Twente | 79c | 72$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed FC Twente | 40c | 68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked FC Twente | 30c | 67.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 1,104 | 45.4%501 W · 603 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 64c | 64.76$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.45 | 429 | 57.1%245 W · 184 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed FC Twente | 37c | 63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.69 | 2,738 | 40.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…ab50backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 17c | 63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 51c | 52.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…41abbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 73c | 50.52$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed FC Twente | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26a6…dedebacked FC Twente | 40c | 48.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +147%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc1…0f58backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…ed5fbacked FC Twente | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +154%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e1…b0bebacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 64c | 38.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 66c | 30.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 64c | 29.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 760 | 37.4%284 W · 476 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed FC Twente | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 66c | 20.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c2…f96ebacked FC Twente | 59c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b50…9e9ebacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f9…ec7bbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 67c | 14.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FC Twente: Team to Advancethis page
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FC Twente: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FC Twente: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FC Twente: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FC Twente: FC Twente O/U 0.5Over won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FC Twente: FC Twente O/U 1.5Over won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FC Twente: O/U 0.5Over won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FC Twente: O/U 1.5Over won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FC Twente: O/U 2.5Over won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FC Twente: O/U 3.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FC Twente: O/U 4.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FC Twente: O/U 5.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FC Twente: Qarabağ Ağdam FK O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: FC Twente (-1.5)Qarabağ Ağdam FK won
- Spread: FC Twente (-2.5)Qarabağ Ağdam FK won
- Spread: Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-1.5)FC Twente won
- Spread: Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-2.5)FC Twente won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.