Tennis · resolved market
ITF M25 Santander Men: Bernardo Munk Mesa vs Sergi Perez Contri
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff21eef58a0de93994a0989df025d499a684a93a114c2711a545117c61bdcff4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sergi Perez Contriof Bernardo Munk Mesa, Sergi Perez Contri
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,175
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,239
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,175 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Sergi Perez Contri | 38c | 3,092$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,931.59 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Bernardo Munk Mesa | 26c | 994$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.44 | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bernardo Munk Mesa | 58c | 742.34$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.49 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Sergi Perez Contri | 74c | 545.95$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.05 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Bernardo Munk Mesa | 29c | 479.31$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Bernardo Munk Mesa | 64c | 288.42$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.59 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sergi Perez Contri | 73c | 210.59$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.17 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Bernardo Munk Mesa | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Bernardo Munk Mesa | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Bernardo Munk Mesa | 25c | 171.9$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.46 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Sergi Perez Contri | 60c | 166.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.71 | 307 | 55%169 W · 138 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Bernardo Munk Mesa | 28c | 162$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Bernardo Munk Mesa | 28c | 162$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…7518backed Sergi Perez Contri | 59c | 160$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Bernardo Munk Mesa | 26c | 141$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Bernardo Munk Mesa | 26c | 138.46$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Sergi Perez Contri | 63c | 124.44$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.1 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Bernardo Munk Mesa | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Sergi Perez Contri | 71c | 98.24$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Bernardo Munk Mesa | 20c | 96.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Bernardo Munk Mesa | 29c | 90.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…c00fbacked Bernardo Munk Mesa | 29c | 90.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Bernardo Munk Mesa | 35c | 73.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a3…3f10backed Bernardo Munk Mesa | 26c | 71.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bernardo Munk Mesa | 25c | 66.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d6…2dfdbacked Bernardo Munk Mesa | 28c | 65.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Bernardo Munk Mesa | 36c | 50.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Sergi Perez Contri | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Sergi Perez Contri | 76c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked Bernardo Munk Mesa | 29c | 37.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 299 | 45.8%137 W · 162 L | +20.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf236…2e36backed Bernardo Munk Mesa | 33c | 30.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Sergi Perez Contri | 37c | 29.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 1,226 | 52%637 W · 589 L | +44.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Sergi Perez Contri | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Sergi Perez Contri | 75c | 19.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 690 | 47%324 W · 366 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.