CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs Just Players (BO3) - GLuck Yungstar Series #2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff255c427683eb90e01010fe209988da5e4ce552048b3e7906634ca618ed5bbe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- QUAZARof QUAZAR, Just Players
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,306
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,245
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,306 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked QUAZAR | 55c | 1,533$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.89 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd2…0abfbacked Just Players | 45c | 666.49$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Just Players | 45c | 430$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.5 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed QUAZAR | 54c | 404.48$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.4 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd385…34fbbacked Just Players | 22c | 401.03$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.38 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed QUAZAR | 55c | 314.57$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.78 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed QUAZAR | 75c | 267.39$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 225 | 67.1%151 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed Just Players | 45c | 254.65$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.54 | 186 | 45.2%84 W · 102 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed QUAZAR | 70c | 223.16$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.36 | 242 | 60.3%146 W · 96 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…a5c9backed Just Players | 45c | 222$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed QUAZAR | 54c | 217.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.28 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Just Players | 6c | 215.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Just Players | 44c | 214.86$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.52 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Just Players | 50c | 212.38$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.24 | 185 | 49.2%91 W · 94 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6a…7dccbacked Just Players | 41c | 212.09$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0978…0d99backed Just Players | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Just Players | 46c | 196$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.16 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83c4…3212backed QUAZAR | 54c | 185.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.3 | 317 | 61.2%194 W · 123 L | +22.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Just Players | 47c | 150.55$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.37 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Just Players | 13c | 137.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed Just Players | 47c | 105.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Just Players | 22c | 100.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Just Players | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 358 | 39.4%141 W · 217 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed1…908cbacked Just Players | 45c | 99.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 206 | 37.9%78 W · 128 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd85…1d60backed Just Players | 45c | 88.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 201 | 47.3%95 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…df6dbacked QUAZAR | 78c | 64.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 108 | 67.6%73 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked Just Players | 26c | 62.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed QUAZAR | 60c | 62.48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 609 | 54%329 W · 280 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Just Players | 37c | 61.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed QUAZAR | 77c | 61.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Just Players | 22c | 57.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 394 | 40.4%159 W · 235 L | +30.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed QUAZAR | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 838 | 56.1%470 W · 368 L | +31.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27a4…d44cbacked QUAZAR | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed QUAZAR | 49c | 50.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked QUAZAR | 55c | 49.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 264 | 48.1%127 W · 137 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked Just Players | 45c | 46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Just Players | 45c | 46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 232 | 44.8%104 W · 128 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdb…4cc2backed Just Players | 47c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 57cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Just Players | 30c | 34.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed QUAZAR | 69c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b6…e0a0backed QUAZAR | 57c | 30.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf21…667bbacked Just Players | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed QUAZAR | 70c | 29.66$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed QUAZAR | 65c | 29.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xde55…1d2abacked QUAZAR | 56c | 27.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked QUAZAR | 53c | 22.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 173 | 60.1%104 W · 69 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…d5abbacked QUAZAR | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed QUAZAR | 79c | 15.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.18 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs Just Players (BO3) - GLuck Yungstar Series #2 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs Just Players - Map 1 WinnerQUAZAR won
- Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs Just Players - Map 2 WinnerQUAZAR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.