Other European Leagues · resolved market
SBV Excelsior vs. AFC Ajax: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff31d5245bb002ff65fb8d50443ad5adc2c1068c7c09e50903056240e1b887df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,968
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,990
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,968 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 37c | 728.58$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.87 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Yes | 63c | 699.99$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 37c | 497.54$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.09 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 37c | 324.12$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.89 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 63c | 317.72$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.72 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 269.75$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.47 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 43c | 211.63$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.04 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Yes | 58c | 180$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 56c | 165.43$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.43 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked No | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b85…fbb7backed Yes | 61c | 139.98$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.59 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked No | 41c | 134.82$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 39c | 133.94$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.58 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3947…6c1ebacked Yes | 75c | 132.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked No | 48c | 103.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Yes | 63c | 89.29$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.21 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 63c | 77.09$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 39c | 66.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 215 | 40.5%87 W · 128 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 62c | 50.26$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed No | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -5.6wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 39c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…b8cabacked Yes | 62c | 38.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4680…e592backed Yes | 64c | 36.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked No | 64c | 35.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…3e0cbacked Yes | 61c | 32.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed Yes | 62c | 32.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c3…5ce1backed Yes | 52c | 31.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 61c | 31.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 191 | 65.4%125 W · 66 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Yes | 67c | 29.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…3210backed No | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 230 | 61.3%141 W · 89 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7604…f7cdbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SBV Excelsior vs. AFC Ajax: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- SBV Excelsior vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 1.5Over won
- SBV Excelsior vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 2.5Over won
- SBV Excelsior vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 3.5Over won
- SBV Excelsior vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.