Asian League · resolved market
Will NEOM SC vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff43c451272bebf469aef0475ab8e85fc235cac8c0c67f7c9acce3058729f0e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,428
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,451
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,428 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 22c | 2,600$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.6 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 18c | 2,000$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 117 | 31.6%37 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 79c | 1,655$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.93 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 77c | 583.31$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.67 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 24c | 505.48$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.31 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c81…98b7backed Yes | 21c | 476.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…03b9backed Yes | 7c | 270.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 0%0 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9661…36f6backed Yes | 22c | 257$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked Yes | 12c | 236.05$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 78c | 172.36$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 76c | 168.17$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.36 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 76c | 164$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 75c | 114$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 75c | 111.1$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 63 | 82.5%52 W · 11 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 76c | 43.67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 41.1$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 206 | 38.8%80 W · 126 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 75c | 38.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 76c | 30.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed No | 76c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed No | 79c | 13.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.89 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NEOM SC vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-08-14?No won
- Will NEOM SC win on 2026-08-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.