Asian League · resolved market
Will NEOM SC win on 2026-08-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93056a4abd5dd466dd2583b6b4d0f133391e13b6844c4f8ea1e9e01253e19200
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,455
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,385
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,455 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed No | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed No | 45c | 8,640$3,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,888 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 56c | 6,821$3,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,989.04 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf78b…3a8abacked No | 43c | 5,177$2,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,225.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 57c | 5,046$2,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,151.3 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 57c | 3,825$2,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.55 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 42c | 3,597$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.12 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 59c | 3,273$1,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.68 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 57c | 2,000$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.01 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 56c | 1,011$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.84 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 56c | 1,005$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.67 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 28c | 1,005$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.04 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Yes | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 58c | 926.35$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.8 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x208c…6b98backed Yes | 56c | 868.07$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.76 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 78c | 800$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.06 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 57c | 619.62$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.44 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 22c | 514.15$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.56 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 56c | 434.59$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.22 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked Yes | 78c | 336.7$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.86 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 59c | 251.27$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.44 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 58c | 215$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.3 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5247…ece7backed No | 44c | 199.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes | 80c | 191.05$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.21 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 80c | 170.89$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.18 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +33.9wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Yes | 57c | 136.84$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.84 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Yes | 56c | 125$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed No | 20c | 119.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 58c | 115.93$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.69 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98fe…ffa7backed Yes | 57c | 110$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x314f…e463backed No | 44c | 100.36$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 144 | 40.3%58 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94aa…a526backed No | 45c | 95.56$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed No | 42c | 89.22$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 43c | 86.31$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.11 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 57c | 85$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 193 | 54.4%105 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 57c | 82$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 181 | 61.9%112 W · 69 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd3…99b2backed No | 44c | 75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0280…6e1ebacked Yes | 56c | 74.59$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.82 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 57c | 71.97$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.03 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5025…2312backed Yes | 60c | 69.73$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 44c | 64.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 63 | 68.3%43 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8b…b723backed Yes | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Yes | 57c | 62.3$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc97…7172backed Yes | 57c | 50.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed No | 44c | 50.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 57c | 48.17$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 57c | 46.89$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Yes | 56c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 43c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed No | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe198…8b53backed Yes | 78c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Yes | 58c | 42.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 195 | 56.9%111 W · 84 L | +15.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…c61cbacked Yes | 78c | 37.26$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 74cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes | 57c | 34.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe771…a76abacked Yes | 57c | 33.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Yes | 56c | 33.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…8974backed Yes | 80c | 30.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 44c | 28.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 58c | 28.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked No | 44c | 27.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 58c | 25.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 319 | 60.2%192 W · 127 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821f…c399backed Yes | 78c | 25.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…53dfbacked Yes | 66c | 21.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Yes | 58c | 20.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8c…f8bdbacked Yes | 73c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x434a…91cbbacked Yes | 57c | 19.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…a81dbacked Yes | 57c | 18.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NEOM SC win on 2026-08-14?this page
- Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-08-14?No won
- Will NEOM SC vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.