Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: 2GAME Esports vs TBK Esports (BO3) - VCL Brazil: Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff5fe8140457aea3bff940980c7f56da5f23ddfe600d8d29c1d9a6df13964280
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 2GAME Esportsof 2GAME Esports, TBK Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,799
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,941
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,799 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked TBK Esports | 37c | 2,217$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.3 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked 2GAME Esports | 63c | 2,210$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.7 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked TBK Esports | 34c | 584.4$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed TBK Esports | 34c | 357$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.96 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 2GAME Esports | 65c | 321.29$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.83 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed 2GAME Esports | 66c | 245$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.3 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3218…a011backed 2GAME Esports | 66c | 165$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed 2GAME Esports | 66c | 151.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.91 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c3…16ccbacked TBK Esports | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…3fd9backed TBK Esports | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked 2GAME Esports | 66c | 135$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e58…fb5abacked 2GAME Esports | 65c | 88$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed 2GAME Esports | 66c | 65$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…0133backed 2GAME Esports | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed TBK Esports | 33c | 57.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed 2GAME Esports | 66c | 53.82$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed 2GAME Esports | 66c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed TBK Esports | 32c | 35.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 156 | 42.3%66 W · 90 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked 2GAME Esports | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.