Cricket · resolved market
Metro Bank One Day Cup: Northamptonshire vs Leicestershire
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff645d358c0662bacdce2114d0a3fb2470156ca57fe1641f5d8ae13043a1fc0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leicestershireof Northamptonshire, Leicestershire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,153
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,609
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,153 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Northamptonshire | 3c | 658.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 296 | 31.1%92 W · 204 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Northamptonshire | 12c | 601.88$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 230 | 33.9%78 W · 152 L | -18.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Northamptonshire | 28c | 387$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.13 | 180 | 52.8%95 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Leicestershire | 78c | 297.25$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.78 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Leicestershire | 71c | 174.88$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…a2d2backed Leicestershire | 70c | 158.08$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.08 | 94 | 64.9%61 W · 33 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed Leicestershire | 75c | 136.8$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Northamptonshire | 21c | 132$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 505 | 47.5%240 W · 265 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Leicestershire | 48c | 113.33$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.04 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Northamptonshire | 28c | 110.06$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 319 | 40.1%128 W · 191 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Leicestershire | 68c | 109.82$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.32 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Leicestershire | 52c | 108$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.25 | 187 | 57.8%108 W · 79 L | +18.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3b…4a04backed Northamptonshire | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Northamptonshire | 28c | 98.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Northamptonshire | 25c | 94.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -11.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Northamptonshire | 41c | 63.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Leicestershire | 59c | 54.42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Leicestershire | 77c | 44.02$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Leicestershire | 55c | 43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Northamptonshire | 26c | 40.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…a213backed Leicestershire | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Leicestershire | 70c | 39.31$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Northamptonshire | 33c | 35.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 438 | 40.9%179 W · 259 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Leicestershire | 78c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Leicestershire | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Leicestershire | 70c | 23.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Leicestershire | 72c | 20.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Leicestershire | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Leicestershire | 77c | 14.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.51 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.