Europa Conference League · resolved market
Ferencvárosi TC vs. Panathinaikós AO: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff6efeb1902e1bb38e5bf87e8df7048e81d47da05646d636442811804eaf035a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,545
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,545 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 974.66$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.97 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 53c | 562.85$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.85 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed No | 48c | 408.89$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.18 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 74c | 337.14$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.48 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 52c | 299.01$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.52 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 47c | 224$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.29 | 153 | 76.5%117 W · 36 L | +37.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 56c | 212.44$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.44 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 34c | 191$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.06 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 53c | 145.94$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.09 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed No | 80c | 125.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 74cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25de…ec0ebacked Yes | 53c | 107$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3e…ef94backed No | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Yes | 53c | 92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 46c | 85.8$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.47 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Yes | 53c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 48c | 67.31$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yes | 33c | 59.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.12 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked No | 47c | 54.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -9.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -41%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 29c | 50.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.95 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0156…2ddcbacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed No | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb856…a9bcbacked Yes | 54c | 38.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 38c | 30.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…98b5backed No | 47c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Yes | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Panathinaikós AO: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Panathinaikós AO: O/U 1.5Over won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Panathinaikós AO: O/U 2.5Under won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Panathinaikós AO: O/U 3.5Under won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Panathinaikós AO: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-1.5)Panathinaikós AO won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.