Europa Conference League · resolved market
Ferencvárosi TC vs. Panathinaikós AO: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ffc2710149193b2fa8f44a881d730fcf42d60efd2b05f809047a15f1dd4d24e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,250
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,038
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,250 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 60c | 9,655$5,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,756.36 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 72c | 8,003$5,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240.82 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 28c | 3,500$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 36c | 2,431$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556.57 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed94…d95dbacked Over | 63c | 1,601$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5664…e463backed Under | 65c | 1,599$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 56c | 1,014$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.36 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 44c | 929.69$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.63 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +9.3wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 32c | 780$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.4 | 67 | 22.4%15 W · 52 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Over | 71c | 555.55$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.58 | 153 | 76.5%117 W · 36 L | +37.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 46c | 488.33$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.7 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Over | 70c | 439$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.7 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Under | 28c | 350$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 26c | 298.25$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.71 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 47c | 223.61$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.41 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 42c | 196.6$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.29 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 46c | 181.42$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.76 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 34c | 176.44$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.45 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 72c | 160$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 28c | 154.96$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.39 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 28c | 154.44$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Under | 9c | 152.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 29c | 151.34$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.89 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 83 | 69.9%58 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 34c | 120.59$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.59 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 70c | 99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 71c | 88.74$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.73 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bc…a233backed Under | 28c | 77.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 28c | 76.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Over | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0f…1147backed Over | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…630fbacked Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa96b…6565backed Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0156…2ddcbacked Over | 33c | 39.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x928d…52a7backed Over | 28c | 39.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed Over | 31c | 38.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed Under | 28c | 35.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1d…b628backed Over | 71c | 22.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe61…4c28backed Under | 68c | 22.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Panathinaikós AO: O/U 1.5this page
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Panathinaikós AO: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Panathinaikós AO: O/U 2.5Under won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Panathinaikós AO: O/U 3.5Under won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Panathinaikós AO: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-1.5)Panathinaikós AO won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.