TailMyPicks
Market

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Ferencvárosi TC vs. Panathinaikós AO: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,188
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,449

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,188 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over48c20,000$9,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,592.168245.1%37 W · 45 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under53c15,190$8,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,105.0784850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under55c9,608$5,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,367.763,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under52c6,915$3,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,319.4733349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under52c3,504$1,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,682.735158.1%204 W · 147 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4405545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4407143.7%31 W · 40 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Over44c2,350$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.191145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under53c2,047$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956.1992050.9%468 W · 452 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.21942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Under52c973.08$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.08771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+43%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under52c895$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.642844.9%192 W · 236 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over48c800$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3849148.4%44 W · 47 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Under52c800$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38419027.4%52 W · 138 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over44c681.82$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002429.2%7 W · 17 L-4.8wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-40%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb53c…eb0cbacked Over49c599.99$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2942634.6%9 W · 17 L-4.3wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-32.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over49c599.99$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2945738.6%22 W · 35 L-6.9wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over48c420$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.614252.1%74 W · 68 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over48c420$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.612948.8%63 W · 66 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over48c420$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.68444%37 W · 47 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19224655.7%137 W · 109 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over48c380$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.46446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over22c354.71$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.4170639.5%279 W · 427 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over48c330$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.49037.8%34 W · 56 L-12.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-28.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over48c330$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.48046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over48c320$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.69444.7%42 W · 52 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1448250%41 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14413650%68 W · 68 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over48c297.08$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.8933847%159 W · 179 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12023757%135 W · 102 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over49c239.99$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.48146.9%38 W · 43 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under56c226.48$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.6518049.4%89 W · 91 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over44c218.68$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.224841.7%20 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9020056.5%113 W · 87 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9614756.5%83 W · 64 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over48c197.92$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955853.4%31 W · 27 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over48c180$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.48056.3%45 W · 35 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over44c173$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.255242.3%22 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over48c170$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.66349.2%31 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over48c170$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.67544%33 W · 42 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over48c170$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.67248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over48c170$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.66350.8%32 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over48c170$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.67244.4%32 W · 40 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over48c170$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.67647.4%36 W · 40 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over48c170$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.66448.4%31 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over48c160$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.88551.8%44 W · 41 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over9c157.86$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.152,99942.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L+7.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over48c150$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727544%33 W · 42 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over47c150$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.758847.7%42 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over48c150$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727540%30 W · 45 L-7.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-24.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Under52c143.66$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.683855.3%21 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over21c134.31$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.812850%14 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over41c121.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026747.2%126 W · 141 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over48c120$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.67847.4%37 W · 41 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over48c120$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.68052.5%42 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over48c120$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.67754.5%42 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over48c120$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.68048.8%39 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under52c120$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.213920.1%28 W · 111 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under52c115.8$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.588660.5%52 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Under55c110$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508062.5%50 W · 30 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486344.4%28 W · 35 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6da…01cebacked Under55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.25per pick53cpaid+58.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484450%22 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f65…cdd3backed Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdaf9…1646backed Over44c91.23$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.141631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-47%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2bc5…a45bbacked Over23c89.74$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.642128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-48.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x741a…4dbebacked Over23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick46cpaid-66.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Over48c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.47848.7%38 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked Over48c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.44854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over48c70$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.69450%47 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Over44c68.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303420.6%7 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207628.9%22 W · 54 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Over48c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.87748.1%37 W · 40 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Over48c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.87949.4%39 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Over48c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.87852.6%41 W · 37 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Over48c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.87648.7%37 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Over48c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.86741.8%28 W · 39 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-23.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Over48c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.87651.3%39 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Over48c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.87951.9%41 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Over48c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.810852.8%57 W · 51 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Over48c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.86144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Over48c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.87853.8%42 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Over48c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.87252.8%38 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Over22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113737.8%14 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x884d…1da6backed Under55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.54365.1%28 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c16…630fbacked Over46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233250%16 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e32…f244backed Under54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231090%9 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.31per pick59cpaid+58.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3991…b6c7backed Over44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Over42c49.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.14822.9%11 W · 37 L-7.8wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-50.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Over44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205158.8%30 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bcd…1a94backed Over44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203250%16 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7bd…a24abacked Over46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f1e…5a2abacked Over49c40.58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.881250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under52c29.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.33461.8%21 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16e9…aeefbacked Under52c26.2$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.58771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under77c25.34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9238753%205 W · 182 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa05f…2465backed Under53c20.23$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.582055%11 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x816e…2663backed Under57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.40per pick46cpaid+75.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.