CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff6fb3c54feb1409f02b774a4b42b9eae766f411136343f4e0b3332af800ec58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-MANA eSportsof MOUZ NXT, ex-MANA eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,052
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,276
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,052 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ex-MANA eSports | 46c | 5,025$2,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,713.49 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed MOUZ NXT | 54c | 3,853$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 1,605 | 52.6%845 W · 760 L | +57.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked MOUZ NXT | 55c | 2,099$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.8 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8045…9116backed ex-MANA eSports | 38c | 999.99$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.99 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed ex-MANA eSports | 47c | 869.57$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.79 | 1,998 | 53.7%1,073 W · 925 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked MOUZ NXT | 53c | 699.98$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.99 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…ce32backed MOUZ NXT | 52c | 525$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked ex-MANA eSports | 60c | 507$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.29 | 353 | 47.9%169 W · 184 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed ex-MANA eSports | 47c | 434$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.02 | 458 | 54.8%251 W · 207 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…caf8backed MOUZ NXT | 54c | 381.55$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.04 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked ex-MANA eSports | 48c | 360.55$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.78 | 1,038 | 57.4%596 W · 442 L | +18.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ex-MANA eSports | 57c | 358.77$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.91 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed MOUZ NXT | 54c | 341.35$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.33 | 543 | 39.4%214 W · 329 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf404…daaabacked MOUZ NXT | 40c | 303$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.27 | 97 | 34%33 W · 64 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed MOUZ NXT | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed MOUZ NXT | 49c | 269.77$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.09 | 333 | 27.9%93 W · 240 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15fa…8fdfbacked ex-MANA eSports | 38c | 254.02$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.49 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…abb1backed MOUZ NXT | 53c | 234.47$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.41 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked MOUZ NXT | 21c | 232.53$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed ex-MANA eSports | 47c | 178.72$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.72 | 835 | 56.2%469 W · 366 L | +31.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1612…9dedbacked MOUZ NXT | 54c | 156$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.24 | 252 | 52%131 W · 121 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed MOUZ NXT | 54c | 155.67$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.06 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked ex-MANA eSports | 58c | 135.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.57 | 2,084 | 47%979 W · 1,105 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked MOUZ NXT | 20c | 134.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 3,165 | 45.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L | -74.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc84f…bb5bbacked ex-MANA eSports | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed ex-MANA eSports | 42c | 114.25$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.85 | 233 | 56.2%131 W · 102 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed ex-MANA eSports | 47c | 110$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 1,069 | 37.8%404 W · 665 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5181…504bbacked ex-MANA eSports | 50c | 99.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.88 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked ex-MANA eSports | 34c | 98.39$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.39 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f93…a687backed MOUZ NXT | 44c | 94.64$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.64 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked MOUZ NXT | 50c | 87.88$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 746 | 33.4%249 W · 497 L | -48.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed MOUZ NXT | 16c | 77.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 2,491 | 41.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L | -114.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ NXT | 54c | 69.84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.71 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed ex-MANA eSports | 48c | 69.22$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.85 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…3df7backed MOUZ NXT | 70c | 67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed MOUZ NXT | 49c | 63.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 388 | 38.7%150 W · 238 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed ex-MANA eSports | 63c | 60.49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7a…b8bdbacked MOUZ NXT | 77c | 51.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 66 | 71.2%47 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed ex-MANA eSports | 38c | 46.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.74 | 873 | 30.9%270 W · 603 L | -62.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…88f9backed ex-MANA eSports | 41c | 43.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 463 | 54%250 W · 213 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked ex-MANA eSports | 46c | 38.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 2,454 | 34.4%845 W · 1,609 L | -189.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9266…a9d3backed ex-MANA eSports | 47c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked ex-MANA eSports | 64c | 36.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 1,034 | 54.9%568 W · 466 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd416…0f17backed ex-MANA eSports | 48c | 31.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 55cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed ex-MANA eSports | 53c | 31.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…76b5backed MOUZ NXT | 63c | 25.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fe…580bbacked MOUZ NXT | 54c | 22.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked ex-MANA eSports | 47c | 22.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 415 | 55.4%230 W · 185 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked MOUZ NXT | 58c | 21.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 671 | 47.1%316 W · 355 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed MOUZ NXT | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…4737backed ex-MANA eSports | 58c | 18.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 113 | 75.2%85 W · 28 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.