Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-08-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffbfc34abe66afed68e346bbe1e26182b4285975388ced5ee7af7d4f2a58c637
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,954
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,423
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,954 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 12c | 4,943$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.12 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 12c | 4,001$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.32 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 15c | 1,009$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.35 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 10c | 833.14$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.23 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 9c | 747$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.58 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 14c | 659.25$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.3 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 32c | 625.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 69c | 622.99$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.26 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 30c | 618.34$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.95 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd8…e787backed Yes | 17c | 502$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 8c | 401.81$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 11c | 369.37$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.03 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 19c | 233.77$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 14c | 162.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6200…7d23backed Yes | 12c | 149.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 11c | 112$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 11c | 110$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 158 | 28.5%45 W · 113 L | -18.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 239 | 51.5%123 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked Yes | 13c | 97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Yes | 14c | 85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 149 | 31.5%47 W · 102 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Yes | 34c | 58.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-08-20?this page
- Will Motherwell FC vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?No won
- Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-08-20?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.