Tennis · resolved market
ITF Xativa: Pedro Rodenas vs Carlos Lopez Montagud
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffce8ca518ef001d5ddb59895a4e9af9b9b2120033f623384a5fc7ef2b302e2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Carlos Lopez Montagudof Pedro Rodenas, Carlos Lopez Montagud
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,548
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,548 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pedro Rodenas | 50c | 9,525$4,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,716.48 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Carlos Lopez Montagud | 50c | 6,161$3,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,086.65 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Carlos Lopez Montagud | 49c | 2,602$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.82 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Carlos Lopez Montagud | 66c | 2,279$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.93 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Pedro Rodenas | 46c | 1,850$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Pedro Rodenas | 52c | 882.11$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.19 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Carlos Lopez Montagud | 51c | 511.91$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.46 | 394 | 46.7%184 W · 210 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…db95backed Pedro Rodenas | 28c | 455$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.4 | 329 | 52.3%172 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed Pedro Rodenas | 44c | 300$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.6 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Carlos Lopez Montagud | 41c | 209.98$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.98 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Pedro Rodenas | 61c | 206.01$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.18 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Pedro Rodenas | 51c | 200$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.45 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Carlos Lopez Montagud | 50c | 196$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Pedro Rodenas | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 580 | 48.4%281 W · 299 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Pedro Rodenas | 41c | 135.27$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.46 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Pedro Rodenas | 34c | 99.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Carlos Lopez Montagud | 50c | 89.22$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.61 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Carlos Lopez Montagud | 50c | 84.9$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.45 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Carlos Lopez Montagud | 50c | 58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 298 | 51.7%154 W · 144 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Carlos Lopez Montagud | 75c | 56.39$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Pedro Rodenas | 44c | 52.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…a6c0backed Carlos Lopez Montagud | 43c | 50.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.88 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd436…18a9backed Carlos Lopez Montagud | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Carlos Lopez Montagud | 56c | 48.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68b6…99b4backed Pedro Rodenas | 28c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Carlos Lopez Montagud | 43c | 28.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 736 | 48.1%354 W · 382 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef1e…6e1fbacked Carlos Lopez Montagud | 42c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Pedro Rodenas | 50c | 25.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Carlos Lopez Montagud | 46c | 22.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.