Cricket · resolved market
Will Bangladesh win?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffd0ad79c86bde30c07b96c7aef7214229e346e477d8d9bc747b8191bc62dc98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,819
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,201
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,819 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5fff…9b0abacked Yes | 6c | 13,146$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.31 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…963ebacked Yes | 4c | 3,598$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…1c65backed Yes | 14c | 3,501$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.18 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 11c | 3,089$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.79 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdb…c4eebacked Yes | 1c | 2,926$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -53%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5e…fecfbacked Yes | 9c | 2,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x150d…e174backed Yes | 3c | 1,441$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked Yes | 10c | 1,399$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.75 | 290 | 51.7%150 W · 140 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3483…4637backed Yes | 3c | 1,105$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 85 | 27.1%23 W · 62 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…c48dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,071$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 299 | 32.4%97 W · 202 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Yes | 10c | 806.86$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.97 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd294…7065backed Yes | 2c | 672.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa82…59d2backed Yes | 12c | 650$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x404a…575dbacked Yes | 6c | 600$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6c…9644backed Yes | 3c | 590.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 10c | 483.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.66 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b23…7193backed Yes | 11c | 430.91$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78fb…56bcbacked Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3714…5e66backed Yes | 12c | 295.39$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b47…774dbacked Yes | 4c | 290.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…1a13backed Yes | 12c | 288.45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x132a…0e14backed Yes | 13c | 264.39$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe7…0c14backed Yes | 11c | 199.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 13c | 195$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 180 | 52.8%95 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f33…adc5backed Yes | 8c | 141.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc77e…0d56backed Yes | 12c | 138.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…9dd0backed Yes | 12c | 129.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 115 | 24.3%28 W · 87 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…e2a3backed Yes | 9c | 112$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 139 | 21.6%30 W · 109 L | -14.6wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -41%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes | 17c | 109.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 11c | 108.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f2…2cb0backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 77c | 30.21$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 70c | 24.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a0…ad96backed Yes | 70c | 21.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bangladesh win?this page
- Will Australia win?Yes won
- Will the match end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.