TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5de7…5e67

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
23
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst WNBA at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+30.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Play-Inbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.69
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 3 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.99
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+219.8%+$24.17
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: MVK Esports vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$27.2
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$16.4
LoL: LNG Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$8.48
LoL: T1 Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$18.87
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs PURE (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship 7 Playoffsbacked PURE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Nemiga (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffsbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+139.3%+$51.11
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs TDK (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffsbacked TDK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.55
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs AM Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked AM Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+67.7%+$57.2
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Lavked - Map 2 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.11
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.2
Counter-Strike: Project 91 vs SAW (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Play-In Group Abacked Project 91 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$12.56
All 8 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+147%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Keegan Smith vs. Dominik Palan: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$34.2
Bengaluru 2: Joshua Charlton vs Ognjen Milicbacked Ognjen Milic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$13.07
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$12.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-5.5)backed Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.32
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.