MenuTailMyPicksEvent
EventUFC

UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Gabriel Lorenço (Heavyweight, Prelims)

Wallets last checked .

UFCStart: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Result

UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Gabriel Lorenço (Heavyweight, Prelims) (opens in a new tab)

Settled: Thomas Petersen won. Thomas Petersen: 10 wallets, $4,266 · Gabriel Lorenço: 12 wallets, $1,288 10 of 22 wallets backed the winner.

What these columns mean
Wallet
A wallet that was in the top 200 of UFC when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
Side
The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
Result
Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
Staked
What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
Entry
The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
Held to the end
What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
The pick on this marketSettled markets
WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of UFC when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on.ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side.EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
0x610b…36a3#5 on the boardGabriel Lorençolost (open this pick)$2032c-$2064
0x83b8…c300#19 on the boardGabriel Lorençolost (open this pick)$2940c-$2961
0xdb1c…2679#23 on the boardThomas Petersenwon (open this pick)$6145c+$74.6461
0xc1d9…5333#28 on the boardThomas Petersenwon (open this pick)$1,20046c+$1,436.0661
0x08db…cf71#34 on the boardGabriel Lorençolost (open this pick)$9040c-$89.5260
0x662a…150e#126 on the boardGabriel Lorençolost (open this pick)$10049c-$10057
0xccce…afcf#296 on the boardGabriel Lorençolost (open this pick)$1527c-$1555
Top 51 to 200
0xb0b3…6bf7#48 on the boardThomas Petersenwon (open this pick)$4019c+$167.0860
0xdb21…cdf3#59 on the boardGabriel Lorençolost (open this pick)$10042c-$10059
0xafbe…cfff#73 on the boardGabriel Lorençolost (open this pick)$4040c-$4059
0xc397…bb3b#77 on the boardThomas Petersenwon (open this pick)$2,00044c+$2,523.9259
0x726b…1afe#78 on the boardThomas Petersenwon (open this pick)$13332c+$287.8659
0x52f4…2b15#79 on the boardThomas Petersenwon (open this pick)$30339c+$473.2159
0x6b23…04a3#89 on the boardThomas Petersenwon (open this pick)$7633c+$15658
0x2d2d…b69d#98 on the boardThomas Petersenwon (open this pick)$16045c+$195.5458
0xcf6a…f9d0#100 on the boardGabriel Lorençolost (open this pick)$2142c-$2158
0xba74…cd0a#102 on the boardGabriel Lorençolost (open this pick)$508c-$5058
0xe650…0944#119 on the boardGabriel Lorençolost (open this pick)$11438c-$11458
0xea06…39ac#165 on the boardGabriel Lorençolost (open this pick)$2940c-$2957
0x00d1…b2d2#178 on the boardThomas Petersenwon (open this pick)$24951c+$234.3857
0x1f64…3633#330 on the boardThomas Petersenwon (open this pick)$4559c+$31.355
0x4cff…cbbc#516 on the boardGabriel Lorençolost (open this pick)$68141c-$680.5954

4 other settled markets of this event are not shown: no top wallet of the time held a qualified pick on them.

About this page

A settled market shows the wallets that were in the top 200 when it was played, the same wallets its open page showed, with the pick each one held to the end and whether it won. Their place on the board is tonight's. A market played before 1 November 2026, when we began to keep the top 200, shows the top 50 of that time.