Cricket · resolved market
T20 Blast: Leicestershire vs Nottinghamshire
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0002b2f75647fdb4a236ab66c2fc35bd8b12013c7e33416d1aad1459f1c87860
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nottinghamshireof Leicestershire, Nottinghamshire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,199
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,871
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,199 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Leicestershire | 41c | 1,946$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Nottinghamshire | 59c | 1,127$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.33 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…d3b2backed Leicestershire | 40c | 881.46$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.4 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Nottinghamshire | 59c | 848.21$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.21 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Nottinghamshire | 59c | 762.7$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.71 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Leicestershire | 35c | 680.07$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.65 | 296 | 31.1%92 W · 204 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nottinghamshire | 65c | 258.58$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.35 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Leicestershire | 30c | 246$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.11 | 180 | 52.8%95 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Nottinghamshire | 68c | 230.87$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.72 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Leicestershire | 20c | 219.37$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.11 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Nottinghamshire | 67c | 219$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.53 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Nottinghamshire | 63c | 186.12$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.1 | 319 | 40.1%128 W · 191 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Nottinghamshire | 76c | 159.03$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.61 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Leicestershire | 41c | 139.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Nottinghamshire | 65c | 131$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.85 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Nottinghamshire | 69c | 129.19$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Nottinghamshire | 79c | 128.89$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -11.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8417…8a39backed Leicestershire | 25c | 119.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 194 | 27.3%53 W · 141 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Leicestershire | 42c | 118$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +135.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Leicestershire | 25c | 107$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Nottinghamshire | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 220 | 36.4%80 W · 140 L | -23.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Leicestershire | 13c | 99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 438 | 40.9%179 W · 259 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Nottinghamshire | 66c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Nottinghamshire | 74c | 77$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 271 | 41.3%112 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Leicestershire | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Leicestershire | 42c | 70.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 209 | 36.8%77 W · 132 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Leicestershire | 42c | 70.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Leicestershire | 31c | 67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Leicestershire | 32c | 65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Leicestershire | 40c | 62.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Nottinghamshire | 57c | 62.38$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.81 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Nottinghamshire | 67c | 60.91$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Leicestershire | 28c | 59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 249 | 40.6%101 W · 148 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Nottinghamshire | 78c | 57.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Nottinghamshire | 61c | 56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 199 | 50.8%101 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Leicestershire | 42c | 55.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Nottinghamshire | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked Nottinghamshire | 60c | 49.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked Nottinghamshire | 74c | 39.19$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Leicestershire | 28c | 36.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Nottinghamshire | 70c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Nottinghamshire | 58c | 30.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18ad…4e13backed Nottinghamshire | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccb…6cb3backed Nottinghamshire | 61c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Nottinghamshire | 70c | 25.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Nottinghamshire | 74c | 22.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…67e6backed Nottinghamshire | 73c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Nottinghamshire | 57c | 21.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 174 | 59.8%104 W · 70 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.